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Eredivisie
Referee: J Manschot
Heracles
S T T U T
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heracles Go Ahead Eagles
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,2
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eredivisie · 25/24 matches
Win Ø 33%
24%
42%
Points per game
0,9
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
76%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
60%
46%
Average goals
3,6
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,1
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,79 xG 1,46
45% Possession 55%
11 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 7
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 8
0 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Heracles 14. · Go Ahead Eagles 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 PSV Eindhoven 25 22 3 0 +67 +53.2 69
2 Feyenoord 25 18 5 2 +44 +48.4 59
3 Twente 25 16 5 4 +25 +17.6 53
4 AZ Alkmaar 25 13 7 5 +26 +13.8 46
5 Ajax 25 11 7 7 +10 +9.7 40
6 Nijmegen 24 10 8 6 +11 -7.8 38
7 Go Ahead Eagles 24 10 6 8 +5 -5.6 36
8 Utrecht 25 8 9 8 -3 -6.6 33
9 Heerenveen 25 9 4 12 -6 -2.2 31
10 For Sittard 25 8 7 10 -13 +0.2 31
11 Sparta Rotterdam 25 8 6 11 -5 -7.6 30
12 Almere City 25 7 8 10 -17 -11.6 29
13 Zwolle 25 7 7 11 -11 -9.0 28
14 Heracles 25 6 5 14 -27 -21.3 23
15 Excelsior 25 4 9 12 -18 -12.8 21
16 Waalwijk 25 6 3 16 -19 -11.5 21
17 Vitesse 25 4 4 17 -32 -20.9 16
18 Volendam 25 3 5 17 -37 -26.0 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Heracles Go Ahead Eagles
Brian De Keersmaecker 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 J. Hornkamp
E. Hansson
55′
S. Sonnenberg 🔁
↦ K. Leerdam
64′
T. Bruns 🔁
↦ J. Bruijn
64′
64′
🔁 B. Adekanye
↦ J. Breum
64′
🔁 T. Baeten
↦ E. Linthorst
2–0 B. Limbombe
J. Hornkamp
69′
70′
🟨 Jeffrey de Lange
71′
🟨 Bas Kuipers
75′
🔁 F. Stokkers
↦ V. Edvardsen
76′
🔁 X. Blomme
↦ G. Nauber
76′
🔁 S. Tengstedt
↦ O. Edvardsen
M. Engels 🔁
↦ B. Limbombe
84′
M. Vejinović 🔁
↦ E. Hansson
84′
Thomas Bruns 🟨
87′
M. Sankoh 🔁
↦ J. Hornkamp
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Heracles

4-2-3-1
1 M. Brouwer G
19 N. Bakboord D
27 K. Leerdam D
21 J. Hoogma D
22 F. Oppegård D
14 B. De Keersmaecker M
20 A. Hrustić M
7 B. Limbombe M
5 J. Bruijn M
29 E. Hansson M
9 J. Hornkamp F
Bench (11)
4 S. Sonnenberg
17 T. Bruns
8 M. Engels
18 M. Vejinović
44 M. Sankoh
35 S. Bultman
12 R. Roosken
16 F. de Keijzer
15 J. Willems
28 R. Jalving
32 S. Scheperman

Coach: E. van de Looi

Go Ahead Eagles

4-2-3-1
1 J. de Lange G
2 M. Deijl D
3 G. Nauber D
4 J. Kramer D
5 B. Kuipers D
8 E. Linthorst M
21 E. Llansana M
29 J. Breum M
18 W. Willumsson M
23 O. Edvardsen M
16 V. Edvardsen F
Bench (11)
11 B. Adekanye
32 T. Baeten
27 F. Stokkers
20 X. Blomme
7 S. Tengstedt
28 P. Saathof
24 L. Everink
22 E. Mulder
15 D. James
33 N. Verdoni
25 J. Amofa

Coach: R. Hake

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,09
U
3,57
B
2,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,62
U2,5 ✓
2,29
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Manschot · 135 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.