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2. Bundesliga
Osnabruck
U T S T T
0–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osnabruck Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 28/27 matches
Win Ø 35%
25%
44%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 51%
50%
52%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

11 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 9
3 Corners 6
19 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Osnabruck 16. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bochum 28 17 3 8 +20 54
2 Greuther Furth 28 14 9 5 +19 51
3 Hamburg 28 14 8 6 +22 50
4 Holstein Kiel 26 13 7 6 +14 46
5 Heidenheim 28 13 6 9 +5 45
6 St Pauli 29 12 8 9 +4 44
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 27 12 7 8 +2 43
8 Karlsruhe 27 12 6 9 +6 42
9 Paderborn 29 10 9 10 +4 39
10 Erzgebirge Aue 28 10 7 11 -3 37
11 Hannover 27 10 6 11 +5 36
12 Darmstadt 29 10 6 13 -2 36
13 Regensburg 27 8 10 9 -4 34
14 Nurnberg 28 8 9 11 -6 33
15 Braunschweig 29 7 9 13 -19 30
16 Osnabruck 28 7 5 16 -20 26
17 Sandhausen 27 7 4 16 -18 25
18 Wurzburger Kickers 29 5 5 19 -29 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,77
U
3,40
B ✓
1,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.