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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Jöllenbeck
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%
15 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 3
6 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
6 Corners 0
2 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Greuther Furth 8. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fortuna Dusseldorf 6 4 2 0 +6 14
2 Karlsruhe 6 4 2 0 +5 14
3 Magdeburg 6 3 3 0 +7 12
4 Paderborn 6 3 3 0 +4 12
5 Hamburg 6 3 2 1 +8 11
6 Hannover 6 3 1 2 +3 10
7 Hertha 6 3 1 2 +2 10
8 Greuther Furth 6 2 3 1 +4 9
9 FC Koln 6 2 2 2 +5 8
10 Kaiserslautern 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 Nurnberg 6 2 1 3 -4 7
12 Elversberg 6 1 3 2 +1 6
13 Preußen Münster 6 1 2 3 -3 5
14 Darmstadt 6 1 2 3 -6 5
15 Ulm 6 1 1 4 -2 4
16 Schalke 04 6 1 1 4 -4 4
17 Braunschweig 6 1 1 4 -10 4
18 Regensburg 6 1 0 5 -15 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Greuther Furth Fortuna Dusseldorf
43′
G. Haag 0–1
N. Gavory
1–1 D. Srbeny
45′
Half-time 1–1
Nemanja Motika 🔁
↦ N. Futkeu
61′
67′
🔁 F. Klaus
↦ J. Niemiec
M. Mustapha 🔁
↦ D. Srbeny
71′
72′
🔁 E. Iyoha
↦ N. Gavory
73′
🔁 M. van Brederode
↦ T. Rossmann
75′
🟨 Andre Hoffmann
80′
🔁 V. Vermeij
↦ D. Kownacki
80′
🔁 N. Mbamba
↦ V. Lunddal Friðriksson
R. Münz 🔁
↦ M. Meyerhöfer
86′
P. Müller 🔁
↦ S. Bansé
86′
91′
Í. Jóhannesson 1–2
Gideon Jung 🟨
96′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Greuther Furth

3-4-1-2
44 N. Noll G
33 M. Dietz D
23 G. Jung D
27 G. Itter D
18 M. Meyerhöfer M
6 S. Bansé M
37 J. Green M
11 R. Massimo M
7 D. Srbeny F
10 B. Hrgota F
9 N. Futkeu F
Bench (9)
22 Nemanja Motika
8 M. Mustapha
5 R. Münz
36 P. Müller
4 D. Michalski
14 J. Consbruch
1 N. Körber
3 O. Mhamdi
17 N. Gießelmann

Coach: A. Zorniger

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-2-3-1
33 F. Kastenmeier G
12 V. Lunddal Friðriksson D
3 A. Hoffmann D
15 T. Oberdorf D
34 N. Gavory D
25 M. Zimmermann M
6 G. Haag M
18 J. Niemiec M
8 Í. Jóhannesson M
21 T. Rossmann M
24 D. Kownacki F
Bench (9)
11 F. Klaus
19 E. Iyoha
10 M. van Brederode
9 V. Vermeij
39 N. Mbamba
23 S. Appelkamp
30 J. de Wijs
1 R. Kwasigroch
22 D. Schmidt

Coach: D. Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,03
U
3,61
B ✓
2,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,57
U2,5
2,37
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Jöllenbeck · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.