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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Petersen

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S S S U S

0–3

Full-time

Hamburg

T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

4,5

Scored

1,5

3,3

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+2,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 57%

71%

43%

Points per game

2,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

43%

71%

Both score Ø 57%

43%

71%

Average goals

2,1

3,4

Scored

1,6

2,3

Conceded

0,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%

22 Shots 18

7 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

10 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 1. · Hamburg 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	5	2	0	+7	17
2	Paderborn	8	4	4	0	+7	16
3	Karlsruhe	8	4	4	0	+5	16
4	Magdeburg	7	4	3	0	+8	15
5	Hannover	7	4	1	2	+5	13
6	Hamburg	7	3	3	1	+8	12
7	FC Koln	8	3	3	2	+7	12
8	Elversberg	8	3	3	2	+5	12
9	Hertha	8	3	2	3	-1	11
10	Nurnberg	8	3	1	4	-5	10
11	Greuther Furth	7	2	3	2	+3	9
12	Kaiserslautern	8	2	3	3	-2	9
13	Schalke 04	8	2	2	4	-3	8
14	Ulm	8	2	1	5	-2	7
15	Darmstadt	8	1	3	4	-7	6
16	Preußen Münster	8	1	2	5	-5	5
17	Braunschweig	7	1	1	5	-12	4
18	Regensburg	8	1	1	6	-18	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Paderborn	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	Karlsruhe	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Hamburg	4	2	2	0	+8	8
5	FC Koln	5	2	1	2	+5	7
6	Elversberg	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	Nurnberg	4	2	0	2	-3	6
8	Greuther Furth	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Schalke 04	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Regensburg	4	1	1	2	-6	4
12	Magdeburg	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Ulm	4	1	0	3	-1	3
14	Braunschweig	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Hertha	4	1	0	3	-4	3
16	Kaiserslautern	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Preußen Münster	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Darmstadt	4	0	2	2	-3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Hertha	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Kaiserslautern	5	2	1	2	-1	7
5	Paderborn	4	1	3	0	+1	6
6	Karlsruhe	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	FC Koln	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Elversberg	4	1	2	1	+2	5
9	Greuther Furth	3	1	1	1	+2	4
10	Hamburg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Ulm	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Nurnberg	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Schalke 04	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Darmstadt	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Preußen Münster	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Hannover	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Braunschweig	4	0	1	3	-11	1
18	Regensburg	4	0	0	4	-12	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.