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2. Bundesliga

Referee: C Dingert

Fortuna Dusseldorf

U T S S S

2–2

Full-time

FC Koln

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf FC Koln

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

17%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

17%

83%

Average goals

1,7

4,0

Scored

1,2

2,5

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 60%

80%

40%

Points per game

2,6

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

20%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

20%

80%

Average goals

1,6

3,8

Scored

1,4

2,4

Conceded

0,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%

9 Shots 24

5 Shots on target 13

4 Blocked shots 1

11 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 8

1 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 1. · FC Koln 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Karlsruhe	5	4	1	0	+5	13
3	Paderborn	6	3	3	0	+4	12
4	Magdeburg	5	3	2	0	+7	11
5	Hamburg	5	3	1	1	+8	10
6	Hannover	6	3	1	2	+3	10
7	Greuther Furth	5	2	3	0	+6	9
8	FC Koln	5	2	1	2	+5	7
9	Hertha	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Kaiserslautern	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Nurnberg	5	2	1	2	-2	7
12	Elversberg	5	1	3	1	+3	6
13	Darmstadt	6	1	2	3	-6	5
14	Schalke 04	6	1	1	4	-4	4
15	Regensburg	5	1	0	4	-12	3
16	Preußen Münster	5	0	2	3	-6	2
17	Ulm	5	0	1	4	-4	1
18	Braunschweig	5	0	1	4	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Karlsruhe	3	3	0	0	+4	9
3	Hamburg	3	2	1	0	+8	7
4	Paderborn	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Greuther Furth	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Elversberg	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	FC Koln	3	1	0	2	+3	3
9	Schalke 04	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Hertha	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Nurnberg	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Regensburg	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Magdeburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Preußen Münster	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Darmstadt	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Kaiserslautern	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Ulm	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Braunschweig	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Kaiserslautern	3	2	0	1	+0	6
4	Paderborn	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Greuther Furth	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	FC Koln	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Hertha	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Karlsruhe	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Nurnberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Darmstadt	3	1	0	2	-4	3
12	Elversberg	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Ulm	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Hannover	3	0	1	2	-2	1
15	Schalke 04	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Braunschweig	3	0	1	2	-9	1
17	Preußen Münster	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Regensburg	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.