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2. Bundesliga
Referee: D Siebert
Nurnberg
T T S S T
1–0
Full-time
Darmstadt
U S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 35%
37%
32%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
68%
68%
Both score Ø 74%
68%
79%
Average goals
3,6
3,7
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
13 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 1
1 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nurnberg 11. · Darmstadt 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 19 9 7 3 +18 34
2 FC Koln 19 10 4 5 +9 34
3 Magdeburg 19 8 8 3 +9 32
4 Kaiserslautern 19 9 5 5 +6 32
5 Hannover 19 9 4 6 +6 31
6 Paderborn 19 8 7 4 +5 31
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 19 8 6 5 +6 30
8 Karlsruhe 19 8 5 6 +1 29
9 Elversberg 19 8 4 7 +5 28
10 Darmstadt 19 6 7 6 +6 25
11 Nurnberg 19 7 4 8 +0 25
12 Hertha 19 7 4 8 +0 25
13 Schalke 04 19 6 6 7 +1 24
14 Preußen Münster 19 4 8 7 -4 20
15 Greuther Furth 19 5 5 9 -12 20
16 Ulm 19 3 8 8 -1 17
17 Braunschweig 19 3 6 10 -20 15
18 Regensburg 19 3 2 14 -35 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nurnberg Darmstadt
17′
🔁 M. Papela
↦ K. Klefisch
34′
🔁 Guille Bueno
↦ F. Nürnberger
Finn Jeltsch 🟨
40′
43′
🟨 Philipp Förster
Half-time 0–0
73′
🔁 L. Marseiler
↦ K. Corredor
73′
🔁 F. Lakenmacher
↦ O. Vilhelmsson
T. Drexler 🔁
↦ F. Jeltsch
76′
1–0 T. Drexler
J. Justvan
85′
F. Flick 🔁
↦ R. Lubach
88′
Mahir Emreli 🟨
90′
Julian Justvan 🟨
92′
N. Seidel 🔁
↦ B. Yılmaz
93′
J. Serra 🔁
↦ M. Emreli
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Nurnberg

3-4-1-2
1 J. Reichert G
4 F. Jeltsch D
31 R. Knoche D
44 O. Karafiát D
2 O. Villadsen M
20 C. Jander M
18 R. Lubach M
21 B. Yılmaz M
10 J. Justvan F
30 M. Emreli F
9 S. Tzimas F
Bench (9)
5 T. Drexler
6 F. Flick
33 N. Seidel
23 J. Serra
36 L. Schleimer
35 S. Joachims
3 Danilo Soares
26 C. Mathenia
22 E. Valentini

Coach: M. Klose

Darmstadt

4-4-2
1 M. Schuhen G
2 Sergio López D
38 C. Riedel D
20 A. Vukotić D
15 F. Nürnberger D
18 P. Förster M
17 K. Klefisch M
16 A. Müller M
34 K. Corredor M
9 F. Hornby F
29 O. Vilhelmsson F
Bench (8)
21 M. Papela
3 Guille Bueno
8 L. Marseiler
19 F. Lakenmacher
10 J. Boëtius
30 A. Brunst
13 M. Thiede
5 M. Maglica

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,36
U
3,53
B
2,83
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,60
U2,5 ✓
2,30
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.