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Ekstraklasa
Referee: K Arys
Lech Poznan
T S S U T
4–1
Full-time
Widzew Lodz
S T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lech Poznan Widzew Lodz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ekstraklasa · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 53%
67%
39%
Points per game
2,1
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
44%
44%
Both score Ø 48%
39%
56%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,70 xG 1,14
61% Possession 39%
17 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
16 Free kicks against 3
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lech Poznan 1. · Widzew Lodz 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Lech Poznan 18 12 2 4 +19 +11.1 38
2 Rakow 18 10 6 2 +14 +10.4 36
3 Jagiellonia 18 10 5 3 +7 -1.1 35
4 Legia 18 9 5 4 +13 +8.9 32
5 Cracovia 18 9 4 5 +8 -0.6 31
6 Gornik Zabrze 18 9 3 6 +6 +4.4 30
7 Motor Lublin 18 8 4 6 -3 -1.6 28
8 Pogon Szczecin 18 8 3 7 +4 +7.3 27
9 GKS Katowice 19 7 5 7 +3 +0.9 26
10 Widzew Lodz 18 7 4 7 -1 -2.6 25
11 Piast Gliwice 18 5 7 6 +0 -2.6 22
12 Radomiak Radom 18 6 2 10 -3 +0.4 20
13 Stal Mielec 19 5 4 10 -6 +4.6 19
14 Zaglebie 18 5 4 9 -11 -5.3 19
15 Puszcza 18 4 6 8 -9 -11.0 18
16 Korona Kielce 18 4 6 8 -12 -3.1 18
17 Lechia Gdansk 18 3 5 10 -15 -16.1 14
18 Slask Wroclaw 18 1 7 10 -14 -4.1 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lech Poznan Widzew Lodz
4′
ℹ️ Luís da Silva
VAR: Goal cancelled
1–0 Afonso Sousa
D. Håkans
5′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 M. Ishak
A. Kozubal
50′
3–0 Afonso Sousa
G. Þórðarson
50′
52′
S. Kozlovský 3–1
Fran Álvarez
Mikael Ishak ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
53′
55′
🔁 S. Hamulić
↦ H. Sobol
55′
🔁 H. Gong
↦ J. Łukowski
57′
🟨 Jakub Sypek
A. Gholizadeh 🔁
↦ F. Jagiełło
69′
A. Milić 🔁
↦ B. Salamon
69′
79′
🔁 N. Stachowicz
↦ J. Sypek
B. Fiabema 🔁
↦ Afonso Sousa
80′
4–1 M. Ishak
D. Håkans
80′
M. Pingot 🔁
↦ M. Gurgul
86′
S. Dudek 🔁
↦ M. Ishak
87′
87′
🔁 M. Hanousek
↦ S. Kerk
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Lech Poznan

4-4-1-1
41 B. Mrozek G
29 R. Carstensen D
3 A. Douglas D
18 B. Salamon D
15 M. Gurgul D
24 F. Jagiełło M
23 G. Þórðarson M
43 A. Kozubal M
11 D. Håkans M
7 Afonso Sousa F
9 M. Ishak F
Bench (9)
8 A. Gholizadeh
16 A. Milić
19 B. Fiabema
55 M. Pingot
53 S. Dudek
35 F. Bednarek
56 K. Lisman
20 I. Hoffmann
90 W. Mońka

Coach: N. Frederiksen

Widzew Lodz

4-1-3-2
1 R. Gikiewicz G
4 M. Żyro D
24 P. Volanakis D
2 Luís Silva D
3 S. Kozlovský D
6 J. Shehu M
77 J. Sypek M
10 Fran Álvarez M
37 S. Kerk M
17 H. Sobol F
7 J. Łukowski F
Bench (9)
99 S. Hamulić
8 H. Gong
70 N. Stachowicz
25 M. Hanousek
21 P. Kwiatkowski
44 N. Diliberto
31 M. Biegański
18 D. Gryzio
23 L. Madej

Coach: D. Myśliwiec

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Arys · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.