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Ligue 2

Referee: F Batta

Bastia

T S T T U

1–1

Full-time

Metz

T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

3,0

1,7

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

40%

35%

Both score Ø 48%

50%

45%

Average goals

2,1

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%

22 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 2

9 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 3

0 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 18

6 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 10. · Metz 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	20	12	4	4	+15	40
2	Metz	20	10	7	3	+16	37
3	Paris FC	20	11	4	5	+12	37
4	Dunkerque	20	11	3	6	+6	36
5	Guingamp	20	11	2	7	+11	35
6	Laval	20	9	6	5	+11	33
7	Annecy	20	9	6	5	+2	33
8	Pau FC	20	7	7	6	+1	28
9	Grenoble	20	8	3	9	-2	27
10	Bastia	20	5	11	4	+4	26
11	Amiens	20	8	2	10	-7	26
12	Clermont	20	6	6	8	-4	24
13	Rodez	20	6	5	9	-2	23
14	Red Star	20	6	4	10	-15	22
15	Troyes	20	6	3	11	-4	21
16	Ajaccio	20	6	3	11	-10	21
17	Caen	20	4	3	13	-10	15
18	Martigues	20	4	3	13	-24	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	10	9	1	0	+17	28
2	Metz	11	7	4	0	+16	25
3	Dunkerque	10	8	0	2	+8	24
4	Guingamp	10	6	2	2	+14	20
5	Paris FC	10	6	2	2	+7	20
6	Grenoble	10	6	2	2	+7	20
7	Amiens	10	6	2	2	+4	20
8	Annecy	10	6	1	3	+4	19
9	Bastia	10	4	6	0	+8	18
10	Pau FC	9	5	3	1	+7	18
11	Laval	10	5	3	2	+5	18
12	Ajaccio	10	5	2	3	+3	17
13	Rodez	10	4	1	5	-1	13
14	Clermont	10	2	5	3	+1	11
15	Troyes	9	3	2	4	+0	11
16	Caen	11	3	2	6	-3	11
17	Red Star	9	3	2	4	-6	11
18	Martigues	11	1	1	9	-14	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	10	5	2	3	+5	17
2	Laval	10	4	3	3	+6	15
3	Guingamp	10	5	0	5	-3	15
4	Annecy	10	3	5	2	-2	14
5	Clermont	10	4	1	5	-5	13
6	Metz	9	3	3	3	+0	12
7	Dunkerque	10	3	3	4	-2	12
8	Lorient	10	3	3	4	-2	12
9	Red Star	11	3	2	6	-9	11
10	Martigues	9	3	2	4	-10	11
11	Rodez	10	2	4	4	-1	10
12	Troyes	11	3	1	7	-4	10
13	Pau FC	11	2	4	5	-6	10
14	Bastia	10	1	5	4	-4	8
15	Grenoble	10	2	1	7	-9	7
16	Amiens	10	2	0	8	-11	6
17	Caen	9	1	1	7	-7	4
18	Ajaccio	10	1	1	8	-13	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.