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Ligue 2
Referee: M Leleu
Clermont
U S S U T
0–1
Full-time
Ajaccio
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Clermont Ajaccio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 30%
30%
30%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
30%
35%
Both score Ø 40%
45%
35%
Average goals
2,1
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

68% Possession 32%
17 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 5
10 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 2
0 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Clermont 12. · Ajaccio 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 20 12 4 4 +15 40
2 Metz 20 10 7 3 +16 37
3 Paris FC 20 11 4 5 +12 37
4 Dunkerque 20 11 3 6 +6 36
5 Guingamp 20 11 2 7 +11 35
6 Laval 20 9 6 5 +11 33
7 Annecy 20 9 6 5 +2 33
8 Pau FC 20 7 7 6 +1 28
9 Grenoble 20 8 3 9 -2 27
10 Bastia 20 5 11 4 +4 26
11 Amiens 20 8 2 10 -7 26
12 Clermont 20 6 6 8 -4 24
13 Rodez 20 6 5 9 -2 23
14 Red Star 20 6 4 10 -15 22
15 Troyes 20 6 3 11 -4 21
16 Ajaccio 20 6 3 11 -10 21
17 Caen 20 4 3 13 -10 15
18 Martigues 20 4 3 13 -24 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Clermont Ajaccio
T. Diagouraga 🔁
↦ Y. Magnin
10′
35′
🟨 Tony Strata
Half-time 0–0
Tidyane Diagouraga 🟨
49′
Josue Isala 🟥
63′
I. M'Bahia 🔁
↦ T. Diagouraga
67′
73′
🔁 B. Santelli
↦ A. Kanté
77′
B. Santelli 0–1
Y. Armougom 🔁
↦ M. Douane
78′
O. Diop 🔁
↦ Y. Diaby
78′
F. Diédhiou 🔁
↦ M. Bassouamina
78′
86′
🟨 Benjamin Santelli
90′
🔁 I. Chegra
↦ M. Soumano
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Clermont

4-2-3-1
1 M. N'Diaye G
15 C. Konaté D
12 D. Da Silva D
20 J. Isala D
31 B. Diallo D
25 J. Gastien M
7 Y. Magnin M
70 Y. Diaby M
6 H. Keïta M
11 M. Douane M
26 M. Bassouamina F
Bench (7)
37 T. Diagouraga
28 I. M'Bahia
22 Y. Armougom
17 O. Diop
18 F. Diédhiou
30 T. Guivarch
77 M. Baaloudj

Coach: L. Batlles

Ajaccio

5-3-2
16 F. Sollacaro G
23 T. Strata D
88 A. Bamba D
5 C. Vidal D
12 M. Huard D
43 K. Kouassi D
25 J. Anziani M
26 T. Jabol-Folcarelli M
4 M. Barreto M
27 A. Kanté F
22 M. Soumano F
Bench (7)
9 B. Santelli
21 I. Chegra
20 M. Youssouf
31 J. Mabepa Ayessa Ondze
8 M. Puch-Herrantz
30 G. Quilichini
6 T. Mangani

Coach: T. Debès

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,80
U
3,25
B ✓
4,87
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,30
U2,5 ✓
1,60
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Leleu · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.