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Serie B
Referee: K Bonacina
Palermo
S T S S T
1–2
Full-time
Pisa
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Pisa
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Serie B · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 48%
35%
61%
Points per game
1,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
30%
52%
Both score Ø 48%
43%
52%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,6
Conceded
0,9
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 0
9 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Palermo 8. · Pisa 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 23 16 4 3 +26 52
2 Pisa 23 14 6 3 +17 48
3 Spezia 23 12 9 2 +21 45
4 Cremonese 23 10 7 6 +10 37
5 Juve Stabia 23 8 9 6 -1 33
6 Catanzaro 23 6 14 3 +5 32
7 Bari 23 6 12 5 +4 30
8 Palermo 23 8 6 9 +3 30
9 Cesena 23 8 6 9 +0 30
10 Reggiana 23 7 7 9 -2 28
11 Mantova 23 6 10 7 -3 28
12 Cittadella 23 7 7 9 -12 28
13 Modena 23 5 12 6 -1 27
14 Carrarese 23 7 6 10 -8 27
15 Brescia 23 5 10 8 -4 25
16 Cosenza 23 4 10 9 -7 22
17 Sampdoria 23 4 10 9 -8 22
18 Sudtirol 23 6 4 13 -13 22
19 Salernitana 23 5 6 12 -11 21
20 Frosinone 23 4 9 10 -16 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Palermo Pisa
13′
A. Rus 0–1
23′
🟨 Antonio Caracciolo
26′
A. Lind 0–2
Half-time 1–2
1–2 M. Brunori
J. Segre
59′
Matteo Brunori 🟨
61′
65′
🟨 Henrik Wendel Meister
67′
🔁 G. Piccinini
↦ H. Meister
72′
🟨 Idrissa Touré
74′
🔁 L. Sernicola
↦ I. Touré
F. Di Francesco 🔁
↦ V. Verre
75′
N. Pierozzi 🔁
↦ S. Diakité
75′
R. Baniya 🔁
↦ G. Magnani
82′
T. Henry 🔁
↦ K. Lund
87′
87′
🔁 A. Arena
↦ A. Lind
87′
🔁 A. Calabresi
↦ A. Rus
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Palermo

3-5-2
1 S. Desplanches G
24 G. Magnani D
43 D. Nikolaou D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
23 S. Diakité M
8 J. Segre M
10 F. Ranocchia M
26 V. Verre M
3 K. Lund M
21 J. Le Douaron F
9 M. Brunori F
Bench (10)
17 F. Di Francesco
27 N. Pierozzi
4 R. Baniya
20 T. Henry
6 C. Gomes
28 A. Blin
63 F. Cutrona
46 S. Sirigu
25 A. Buttaro
14 A. Vasić

Coach: A. Dionisi

Pisa

3-4-2-1
47 A. Šemper G
17 A. Rus D
4 A. Caracciolo D
5 S. Canestrelli D
15 I. Touré M
8 M. Højholt M
28 O. Abildgaard M
3 S. Angori M
32 S. Moreo F
14 H. Meister F
45 A. Lind F
Bench (11)
36 G. Piccinini
66 L. Sernicola
30 A. Arena
33 A. Calabresi
13 C. Sussi
21 M. Solbakken
10 E. Vignato
1 Nícolas
94 G. Bonfanti
22 L. Loria
80 O. Moruțan

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,35
U
2,94
B ✓
3,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,21
U2,5
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Bonacina · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.