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2. Bundesliga
Referee: P Alt
Paderborn
T T S T S
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Preußen Münster
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 31%
43%
19%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
67%
57%
Both score Ø 69%
71%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%
15 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paderborn 6. · Preußen Münster 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 FC Koln 21 12 4 5 +11 40
2 Hamburg 21 10 8 3 +19 38
3 Kaiserslautern 21 11 5 5 +8 38
4 Magdeburg 21 9 8 4 +11 35
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 21 9 7 5 +7 34
6 Paderborn 21 9 7 5 +6 34
7 Hannover 21 9 6 6 +6 33
8 Elversberg 21 9 5 7 +8 32
9 Nurnberg 21 9 4 8 +2 31
10 Karlsruhe 21 8 6 7 -1 30
11 Greuther Furth 21 7 5 9 -10 26
12 Darmstadt 21 6 7 8 +2 25
13 Hertha 21 7 4 10 -3 25
14 Schalke 04 21 6 6 9 -3 24
15 Preußen Münster 21 4 8 9 -6 20
16 Braunschweig 21 4 6 11 -19 18
17 Ulm 21 3 8 10 -4 17
18 Regensburg 21 4 2 15 -34 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paderborn Preußen Münster
Half-time 0–0
F. Bilbija 🔁
↦ S. Klaas
62′
63′
🟨 Mikkel Kirkeskov
73′
🟨 Joshua Mees
C. Terho 🔁
↦ A. Grimaldi
74′
I. Ansah 🔁
↦ S. Michel
74′
Marvin Mehlem 🟨
75′
76′
🔁 C. Makridis
↦ J. Mees
1–0 M. Mehlem
81′
2–0 I. Ansah
F. Bilbija
84′
86′
🔁 Y. Bouchama
↦ J. Hendrix
86′
🔁 H. Friðjónsson
↦ L. Bazzoli
M. Hansen 🔁
↦ M. Mehlem
87′
88′
🟨 Torge Paetow
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Paderborn

3-4-1-2
30 M. Schubert G
25 T. Scheller D
20 F. Götze D
4 C. Brackelmann D
23 R. Obermair M
5 S. Castañeda M
26 S. Klaas M
32 A. Zehnter M
6 M. Mehlem F
39 A. Grimaldi F
11 S. Michel F
Bench (8)
7 F. Bilbija
24 C. Terho
29 I. Ansah
22 M. Hansen
33 M. Hoffmeier
19 L. Herrmann
35 A. Schulz
17 L. Curda

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Preußen Münster

3-4-3
1 J. Schenk G
32 L. Bazzoli D
16 T. Paetow D
29 L. Frenkert D
27 J. ter Horst M
20 J. Hendrix M
4 D. Kinsombi M
2 M. Kirkeskov M
8 J. Mees F
30 E. Amenyido F
13 F. Pick F
Bench (9)
14 C. Makridis
5 Y. Bouchama
31 H. Friðjónsson
7 D. Kyerewaa
24 N. Koulis
21 R. Preißinger
15 S. Scherder
26 M. Behrens
22 D. Schad

Coach: S. Hildmann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,62
U
3,89
B
5,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,80
U2,5 ✓
2,01
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Alt · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.