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Süper Lig
Referee: K Sağlam
Ad. Demirspor
T T T T T
1–1
Full-time
Antalyaspor
T T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ad. Demirspor Antalyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,7
3,0
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
2,8
2,2
Goal diff per game
-2,0
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 22/22 matches
Win Ø 21%
9%
32%
Points per game
0,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
68%
55%
Both score Ø 55%
55%
55%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
2,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
-1,5
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,32 xG 3,05
39% Possession 61%
5 Shots 17
3 Shots on target 8
1 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
0 Corners 9
3 Offside 7
19 Free kicks against 12
4 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ad. Demirspor 19. · Antalyaspor 13.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 22 19 3 0 +35 +24.0 60
2 Fenerbahce 22 17 3 2 +35 +28.3 54
3 Samsunspor 22 13 4 5 +13 +10.4 43
4 Eyüpspor 22 11 6 5 +14 +2.3 39
5 Goztep 22 10 5 7 +13 +14.2 35
6 Besiktas 21 9 8 4 +10 +9.1 35
7 Buyuksehyr 22 9 6 7 +9 +7.3 33
8 Kasimpasa 22 7 10 5 -2 -0.2 31
9 Trabzonspor 21 7 8 6 +11 -2.8 29
10 Alanyaspor 22 7 7 8 -5 -3.6 28
11 Rizespor 22 8 3 11 -11 +3.7 27
12 Gaziantep 21 7 5 9 -3 -6.0 26
13 Antalyaspor 22 7 5 10 -16 -13.1 26
14 Konyaspor 22 6 6 10 -7 -7.7 24
15 Sivasspor 22 6 5 11 -11 -16.3 23
16 Kayserispor 21 4 8 9 -19 -6.1 20
17 Bodrumspor 22 4 5 13 -14 -5.4 17
18 Hatayspor 22 1 7 14 -19 -17.0 10
19 Ad. Demirspor 22 2 2 18 -33 -21.4 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ad. Demirspor Antalyaspor
Ali Yavuz Kol 🟨
-5′
Tayfun Aydoğan ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
26′
27′
🟨 Bünyamin Balcı
1–0 N. Alioui
28′
30′
🟨 Erdal Rakip
32′
🟨 Güray Vural
45′
S. Larsson 1–1
Half-time 1–1
Y. Barası 🔁
↦ O. Demirbag
46′
V. Karakuş 🔁
↦ D. Dönmezer
46′
46′
🔁 Thalisson Kelven
↦ B. Balcı
Arda Kurtulan 🟨
49′
51′
🟨 Sander van de Streek
A. Aymbetov 🔁
↦ A. Kol
62′
62′
🔁 A. Gaich
↦ B. Samudio
63′
🔁 M. Djenepo
↦ E. Rakip
64′
🟨 Moussa Djenepo
A. Aktaş 🔁
↦ T. Aydoğan
73′
Maestro 🟨
81′
82′
🟨 Adolfo Gaich
83′
🔁 S. Dikmen
↦ R. Safouri
84′
🔁 A. Townsend
↦ S. van de Streek
Abat Aimbetov 🟨
89′
O. Kaynak 🔁
↦ İ. Çelik
89′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
27 D. Dönmezer G
99 A. Kurtulan D
24 B. Ersoy D
55 T. Kalender D
23 A. Burak D
16 İ. Çelik M
58 Maestro M
60 O. Demirbag M
8 T. Aydoğan M
80 A. Kol M
10 N. Alioui F
Bench (9)
11 Y. Barası
39 V. Karakuş
17 A. Aymbetov
22 A. Aktaş
87 O. Kaynak
30 Y. Gürol
25 M. Eser
90 A. Yılmaz
28 S. Kavrazlı

Coach: M. Avcı

Antalyaspor

4-3-3
13 K. Pirić G
7 B. Balcı D
89 V. Sarı D
3 B. Öztürk D
11 G. Vural D
8 R. Safouri M
18 J. Kałuziński M
6 E. Rakip M
22 S. van de Streek F
10 S. Larsson F
81 B. Samudio F
Bench (10)
2 Thalisson Kelven
9 A. Gaich
12 M. Djenepo
5 S. Dikmen
25 A. Townsend
77 A. Dursun
14 E. Uzunhan
27 M. Yılmaz
16 O. Petrusenko
21 A. Yiğiter

Coach: E. Belözoğlu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,18
U ✓
3,78
B
1,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,62
U2,5 ✓
2,28
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Sağlam · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.