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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Burda

Paderborn

U S S T U

1–2

Full-time

Karlsruhe

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Karlsruhe

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 92%

83%

100%

Average goals

3,2

4,2

Scored

1,7

2,0

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 44%

44%

Points per game

1,8

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

69%

75%

Both score Ø 78%

75%

81%

Average goals

3,1

3,9

Scored

1,8

2,0

Conceded

1,4

1,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

62% Possession 38%

22 Shots 8

9 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

10 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 4. · Karlsruhe 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Elversberg	17	8	4	5	+9	28
2	FC Koln	16	8	4	4	+8	28
3	Magdeburg	17	7	7	3	+6	28
4	Paderborn	16	7	7	2	+6	28
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	17	7	5	5	+5	26
6	Hannover	16	8	2	6	+5	26
7	Kaiserslautern	16	7	5	4	+4	26
8	Karlsruhe	16	7	5	4	+2	26
9	Hamburg	16	6	7	3	+11	25
10	Darmstadt	16	6	6	4	+8	24
11	Hertha	16	6	3	7	+0	21
12	Schalke 04	17	5	5	7	-1	20
13	Greuther Furth	16	5	5	6	-4	20
14	Nurnberg	16	5	4	7	+0	19
15	Preußen Münster	16	3	6	7	-5	15
16	Ulm	16	2	7	7	-4	13
17	Braunschweig	16	3	4	9	-19	13
18	Regensburg	16	2	2	12	-31	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	8	7	0	1	+9	21
2	Elversberg	9	5	1	3	+3	16
3	Hamburg	8	3	5	0	+10	14
4	FC Koln	9	4	2	3	+7	14
5	Paderborn	7	4	2	1	+5	14
6	Karlsruhe	8	4	2	2	+2	14
7	Darmstadt	9	3	4	2	+7	13
8	Kaiserslautern	7	3	3	1	+5	12
9	Nurnberg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Braunschweig	8	3	2	3	+0	11
11	Greuther Furth	9	3	2	4	-6	11
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	9	2	3	4	-3	9
13	Schalke 04	8	2	2	4	-2	8
14	Hertha	8	2	1	5	-4	7
15	Regensburg	8	2	1	5	-10	7
16	Ulm	8	1	3	4	-2	6
17	Preußen Münster	8	1	3	4	-3	6
18	Magdeburg	8	0	6	2	-5	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	9	7	1	1	+11	22
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	8	5	2	1	+8	17
3	Hertha	8	4	2	2	+4	14
4	Paderborn	9	3	5	1	+1	14
5	FC Koln	7	4	2	1	+1	14
6	Kaiserslautern	9	4	2	3	-1	14
7	Elversberg	8	3	3	2	+6	12
8	Schalke 04	9	3	3	3	+1	12
9	Karlsruhe	8	3	3	2	+0	12
10	Darmstadt	7	3	2	2	+1	11
11	Hamburg	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Greuther Furth	7	2	3	2	+2	9
13	Preußen Münster	8	2	3	3	-2	9
14	Nurnberg	9	2	2	5	-2	8
15	Ulm	8	1	4	3	-2	7
16	Hannover	8	1	2	5	-4	5
17	Braunschweig	8	0	2	6	-19	2
18	Regensburg	8	0	1	7	-21	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.