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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Exner
Elversberg
U T S T S
2–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elversberg Kaiserslautern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,3
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,5
1,0
Scored
0,5
0,5
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
11 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 8
2 Offside 2
22 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elversberg 12. · Kaiserslautern 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bielefeld 2 2 0 0 +6 +1.7 6
2 Darmstadt 2 2 0 0 +4 +0.9 6
3 Hannover 2 2 0 0 +3 +2.5 6
4 Braunschweig 2 2 0 0 +2 -1.1 6
5 Karlsruhe 2 1 1 0 +1 +0.3 4
6 Paderborn 2 1 1 0 +1 +2.8 4
7 Greuther Furth 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.2 3
8 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +0 +0.8 3
9 Magdeburg 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.5 3
10 Kaiserslautern 2 1 0 1 +0 -0.2 3
11 Bochum 2 1 0 1 -1 +1.8 3
12 Elversberg 2 1 0 1 -1 -2.9 3
13 Preußen Münster 2 0 1 1 -1 -2.5 1
14 Hertha 2 0 1 1 -1 -1.9 1
15 Dresden 2 0 0 2 -2 +1.8 0
16 Nurnberg 2 0 0 2 -2 +0.1 0
17 Holstein Kiel 2 0 0 2 -3 +0.1 0
18 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 0 0 2 -6 -3.5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elversberg Kaiserslautern
12′
🔁 F. Alidou
↦ S. Asta
1–0 L. Schnellbacher
B. Conte
43′
Half-time 1–0
49′
🟨 Fabian Kunze
Maximilian Rohr 🟨
53′
Y. Ebnoutalib 🔁
↦ L. Schnellbacher
67′
72′
🔁 T. Raschl
↦ S. Sahin
72′
🔁 D. Abiama
↦ M. Ritter
72′
🔁 R. Tachie
↦ M. Emreli
78′
ℹ️ Faride Alidou
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Nicolas Kristof 🟨
79′
79′
R. Tachie 1–1
N. Mickelson 🔁
↦ L. Gunther
81′
J. Ceka 🔁
↦ L. Petkov
81′
84′
🔁 J. Elvedi
↦ N. Skytta
C. Sickinger 🔁
↦ A. Conde
86′
F. Schmahl 🔁
↦ L. Poreba
86′
87′
🟨 Faride Alidou
2–1 F. Schmahl
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Elversberg

4-2-3-1
20 N. Kristof G
43 F. Keidel D
19 L. Pinckert D
31 M. Rohr D
21 L. Gunther D
6 A. Conde M
8 L. Poreba M
25 L. Petkov M
10 B. Conte M
29 T. Zimmerschied M
24 L. Schnellbacher F
Bench (9)
28 T. Boss
3 F. Le Joncour
2 N. Mickelson
27 F. Gerezgiher
23 C. Sickinger
17 F. Schmahl
7 M. Feil
22 Y. Ebnoutalib
11 J. Ceka

Coach: Vincent Wagner

Kaiserslautern

3-4-2-1
1 J. Krahl G
31 L. Sirch D
4 M. Gyamfi D
5 Kim Ji-Soo D
2 S. Asta M
6 F. Kunze M
8 S. Sahin M
22 M. Haas M
15 N. Skytta F
7 M. Ritter F
10 M. Emreli F
Bench (9)
25 S. Simoni
3 F. Kleinhansl
33 J. Elvedi
20 T. Raschl
23 A. Afeez
37 L. Robinson
27 D. Abiama
29 R. Tachie
48 F. Alidou

Coach: Torsten Lieberknecht

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,99
U
3,53
B
3,38
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,80
U2,5
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Exner · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.