2. Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Preußen Münster
Nurnberg
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bielefeld
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | +1.7 | 6 |
| 2 |
Darmstadt
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | +0.9 | 6 |
| 3 |
Hannover
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | +2.5 | 6 |
| 4 |
Braunschweig
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | -1.1 | 6 |
| 5 |
Karlsruhe
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | +0.3 | 4 |
| 6 |
Paderborn
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | +2.8 | 4 |
| 7 |
Greuther Furth
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | -0.2 | 3 |
| 8 |
Schalke 04
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | +0.8 | 3 |
| 9 |
Magdeburg
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | -0.5 | 3 |
| 10 |
Kaiserslautern
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | -0.2 | 3 |
| 11 |
Bochum
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | +1.8 | 3 |
| 12 |
Elversberg
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -2.9 | 3 |
| 13 |
Preußen Münster
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -2.5 | 1 |
| 14 |
Hertha
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -1.9 | 1 |
| 15 |
Dresden
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +1.8 | 0 |
| 16 |
Nurnberg
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +0.1 | 0 |
| 17 |
Holstein Kiel
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | +0.1 | 0 |
| 18 |
Fortuna Dusseldorf
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | -3.5 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
J. Schenk
G
J. ter Horst
D
J. Heuer
D
P. Jaeckel
D
O. Batista Meier
F
Coach: Alexander Ende
J. Reichert
G
F. Gruber
D
L. Lochoshvili
D
H. Koudossou
M
J. Justvan
M
R. Lubach
M
B. Yilmaz
M
Coach: Miroslav Klose
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Preußen Münster
Hertha
Preußen Münster
Paderborn
Karlsruhe
Preußen Münster
Ulm
Preußen Münster
Preußen Münster
Hertha
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.