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2. Bundesliga
Referee: B Dankert
Paderborn
S T T T S
2–2
Full-time
Darmstadt
S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 60%
63%
56%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 53%
56%
50%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,7
Conceded
1,0
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

3,84 xG 1,29
65% Possession 35%
18 Shots 9
7 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paderborn 4. · Darmstadt 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Schalke 04 16 12 1 3 +13 +4.2 37
2 Elversberg 16 10 3 3 +16 -1.9 33
3 Darmstadt 16 9 5 2 +12 +9.6 32
4 Paderborn 16 10 2 4 +10 +4.7 32
5 Hannover 16 8 5 3 +9 +3.9 29
6 Kaiserslautern 16 8 3 5 +9 +1.8 27
7 Hertha 16 8 3 5 +5 -1.6 27
8 Karlsruhe 16 6 3 7 -8 -14.0 21
9 Bochum 16 6 2 8 +1 +4.5 20
10 Preußen Münster 16 5 4 7 -4 -1.7 19
11 Nurnberg 16 5 4 7 -5 +0.1 19
12 Bielefeld 16 5 3 8 +3 +0.4 18
13 Holstein Kiel 16 4 5 7 -3 -6.1 17
14 Braunschweig 16 5 2 9 -10 +2.9 17
15 Greuther Furth 16 4 3 9 -17 -3.5 15
16 Magdeburg 16 4 2 10 -9 +2.4 14
17 Fortuna Dusseldorf 16 4 2 10 -13 -5.2 14
18 Dresden 16 3 4 9 -9 -0.7 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paderborn Darmstadt
4′
M. Richter 0–1
I. Lidberg
37′
K. Corredor 0–2
Half-time 0–2
S. Tigges 🔁
↦ L. Copado
46′
1–2 M. Baur
L. Curda
54′
58′
🟨 Hiroki Akiyama
62′
🔁 M. Papela
↦ H. Akiyama
62′
🔁 F. Hornby
↦ K. Corredor
R. Muller 🔁
↦ M. Hansen
73′
73′
🔁 M. Bader
↦ M. Richter
73′
🔁 F. Nurnberger
↦ F. Holland
Sven Michel 🟨
79′
Sven Michel ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
84′
2–2 S. Klaas
84′
L. Engelns 🔁
↦ S. Klaas
86′
F. Bilbija 🔁
↦ S. Michel
86′
90′
🔁 A. Vukotic
↦ I. Lidberg
S. Castaneda 🔁
↦ M. Baur
92′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Paderborn

3-4-2-1
41 D. Seimen G
20 F. Gotze D
25 T. Scheller D
22 M. Hansen D
17 L. Curda M
14 M. Baur M
26 S. Klaas M
23 R. Obermair M
11 S. Michel F
9 N. Batzner F
28 L. Copado F
Bench (9)
1 M. Schubert
3 J. Sticker
6 L. Engelns
5 S. Castaneda
2 R. Muller
30 S. Marino
27 S. Tigges
18 M. Worner
7 F. Bilbija

Coach: Ralf Kettemann

Darmstadt

3-4-2-1
1 M. Schuhen G
6 P. Pfeiffer D
5 M. Maglica D
32 F. Holland D
2 S. Lopez M
17 K. Klefisch M
16 H. Akiyama M
8 L. Marseiler M
23 M. Richter F
34 K. Corredor F
7 I. Lidberg F
Bench (9)
30 A. Brunst
20 A. Vukotic
26 M. Bader
15 F. Nurnberger
21 M. Papela
28 P. Will
44 Y. Furukawa
9 F. Hornby
27 B. Bialek

Coach: Florian Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,11
U ✓
3,48
B
3,16
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,67
U2,5
2,07
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Dankert · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.