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2. Bundesliga
Referee: P Schwengers
Paderborn
S T S S S
3–1
Full-time
Darmstadt
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
67%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
0,3
Conceded
1,0
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
18 Shots 15
5 Shots on target 7
9 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paderborn 9. · Darmstadt 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Greuther Furth 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Kaiserslautern 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Karlsruhe 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Hamburg 2 1 1 0 +1 4
6 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +2 3
7 Hannover 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Nurnberg 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 Paderborn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Regensburg 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Elversberg 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Magdeburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 FC Koln 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Hertha 2 0 1 1 -1 1
15 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Ulm 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Darmstadt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paderborn Darmstadt
7′
O. Vilhelmsson 0–1
K. Klefisch
Visar Musliu 🟨
10′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🟨 Matthias Bader
M. Hoffmeier 🔁
↦ V. Musliu
46′
L. Herrmann 🔁
↦ K. Kostons
46′
1–1 S. Klaas
A. Zehnter
53′
64′
🔁 M. Papela
↦ L. Marseiler
64′
🔁 Sergio López
↦ M. Bader
2–1 F. Bilbija
R. Obermair
64′
D. Kinsombi 🔁
↦ S. Castañeda
73′
74′
🔁 A. Müller
↦ F. Lakenmacher
75′
🔁 F. Hornby
↦ K. Gjasula
I. Ansah 🔁
↦ S. Klaas
78′
A. Grimaldi 🔁
↦ S. Michel
79′
81′
🔁 F. Stojilković
↦ K. Klefisch
3–1 I. Ansah
F. Bilbija
83′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Paderborn

3-4-3
1 P. Boevink G
20 F. Götze D
25 T. Scheller D
16 V. Musliu D
23 R. Obermair M
26 S. Klaas M
5 S. Castañeda M
32 A. Zehnter M
10 K. Kostons F
7 F. Bilbija F
11 S. Michel F
Bench (9)
33 M. Hoffmeier
19 L. Herrmann
8 D. Kinsombi
29 I. Ansah
39 A. Grimaldi
30 M. Schubert
17 L. Curda
9 M. Baur
4 C. Brackelmann

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Darmstadt

3-4-1-2
1 M. Schuhen G
38 C. Riedel D
23 K. Gjasula D
20 A. Vukotić D
26 M. Bader M
17 K. Klefisch M
28 P. Will M
15 F. Nürnberger M
8 L. Marseiler F
29 O. Vilhelmsson F
19 F. Lakenmacher F
Bench (9)
21 M. Papela
2 Sergio López
16 A. Müller
9 F. Hornby
40 F. Stojilković
5 M. Maglica
22 K. Niemczycki
11 T. Kempe
4 C. Zimmermann

Coach: T. Lieberknecht

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,79
B
3,81
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,26
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Schwengers · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.