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Primeira Liga

Setubal

U T

0–0

Full-time

Moreirense

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Setubal Moreirense

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,2

Scored

0,0

1,3

Conceded

2,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-0,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,5

Scored

0,0

2,0

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

18 Shots 5

1 Shots on target 2

9 Corners 5

18 Free kicks against 27

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Setubal 16. · Moreirense 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	3	2	0	1	+7	6
2	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+7	6
3	Famalicao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Sp Lisbon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Portimonense	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Aves	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	+1	3
9	Moreirense	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Santa Clara	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Gil Vicente	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Tondela	3	0	2	1	-1	2
13	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Maritimo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Belenenses	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
17	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+5	3
3	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Aves	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Maritimo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Portimonense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Santa Clara	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Tondela	2	0	2	0	+0	2
6	Sp Lisbon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Boavista	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Belenenses	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Porto	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Aves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Gil Vicente	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Setubal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.