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Ligue 2

Niort

T U S S

1–1

Full-time

Caen

T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Niort Caen

Last 6 — all competitions · 4/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 29%

25%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,8

This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,5

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

11 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 4

5 Corners 3

15 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Niort 5. · Caen 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Clermont	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Lorient	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Le Havre	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Chambly	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Niort	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Rodez	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Lens	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Ajaccio	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Valenciennes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Nancy	4	1	3	0	+1	6
11	Caen	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Sochaux	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Guingamp	4	1	2	1	-1	5
14	Troyes	4	1	1	2	+0	4
15	Auxerre	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Grenoble	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Orleans	4	0	1	3	-3	1
18	Paris FC	4	0	1	3	-5	1
19	Chateauroux	4	0	1	3	-7	1
20	Le Mans	4	0	0	4	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Rodez	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Nancy	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Clermont	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Auxerre	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Guingamp	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Valenciennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Chambly	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Sochaux	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Niort	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Lens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Le Havre	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Ajaccio	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Grenoble	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Paris FC	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Caen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Chateauroux	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Le Mans	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Troyes	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Orleans	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Clermont	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Ajaccio	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Troyes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Lens	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Lorient	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Caen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Niort	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Chambly	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Valenciennes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Grenoble	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Nancy	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sochaux	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Orleans	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Rodez	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Guingamp	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Le Mans	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Auxerre	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Paris FC	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Chateauroux	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.