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La Liga
Referee: José Munuera
Levante
T S S U T
2–1
Full-time
Villarreal
U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Villarreal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
1,0
8,0
Scored
0,0
4,0
Conceded
1,0
4,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%
16 Shots 23
4 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 3
3 Offside 2
5 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 17. · Villarreal 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sevilla 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Real Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
3 Mallorca 1 1 0 0 +1 3
4 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Ath Bilbao 1 1 0 0 +1 3
6 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Villarreal 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Valencia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Sociedad 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Granada 2 0 1 1 -1 1
13 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Betis 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Barcelona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Leganes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Levante 1 0 0 1 -1 0
18 Getafe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
19 Celta 1 0 0 1 -2 0
20 Espanol 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Villarreal
3′
Gerard Moreno 0–1
K. Toko Ekambi
Half-time 0–1
Roger Martí 🔁
↦ Sergio León
63′
Hernâni 🔁
↦ Rochina
64′
67′
🟨 Andrés Fernández
1–1 Roger Martí
68′
70′
🟨 Raúl Albiol
2–1 Roger Martí
73′
74′
🔁 C. Bacca
↦ K. Toko Ekambi
75′
🔁 Javi Ontiveros
↦ Moi Gómez
Nikola Vukčević 🟨
80′
Miramón 🔁
↦ Morales
84′
88′
🔁 Manu Trigueros
↦ Albiol
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Levante

4-3-3
13 Aitor G
23 Coke D
14 Rubén Vezo D
15 Sergio Postigo D
3 Toño D
24 José Campaña M
17 Nikola Vukčević M
10 Enis Bardhi M
16 Ruben Rochina F
7 Sergio León F
11 José Luis Morales F
Bench (7)
1 Oier Olazábal
18 Erick Cabaco
20 Jorge Miramon
22 Gonzalo Melero
9 Roger
8 Hernani
21 Borja Mayoral

Coach: Paco López

Villarreal

4-2-3-1
13 Andrés Fernández G
2 Mario Gaspar D
3 Raúl Albiol D
4 Pau Torres D
18 Alberto Moreno D
10 Vicente Iborra M
8 Santi Cazorla M
11 Samuel Chukwueze M
23 Moi Gómez M
17 Karl Toko Ekambi M
7 Gerard Moreno F
Bench (7)
1 Sergio Asenjo
16 Xavier Quintilla
6 Ramiro Funes Mori
14 Manu Trigueros
19 André Zambo Anguissa
24 Javier Ontiveros
9 Carlos Bacca

Coach: Javi Calleja

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,59
U
3,54
B
2,63
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,17
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Munuera · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.