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Premier League

Referee: Michael Oliver

Aston Villa

S T S T T

2–0

Full-time

Everton

U S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aston Villa Everton

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

83%

17%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,8

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+1,2

This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

3,5

0,5

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

2,5

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,5

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%

7 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 1

2 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

0 Corners 6

8 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aston Villa 17. · Everton 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Man City	2	1	1	0	+5	4
4	Man United	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Bournemouth	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Sheffield United	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Everton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Burnley	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Norwich	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Leicester	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Wolves	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Crystal Palace	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Chelsea	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	West Ham	2	0	1	1	-5	1
17	Aston Villa	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Newcastle	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Southampton	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Watford	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Man City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Chelsea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Watford	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Sheffield United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	West Ham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Man United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Everton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Watford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.