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Ligue 2

Bastia

T U U S T

0–0

Full-time

Toulouse

T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 21/21 matches

Win Ø 38%

24%

52%

Points per game

1,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

33%

57%

Both score Ø 50%

43%

57%

Average goals

2,0

3,0

Scored

1,0

2,1

Conceded

1,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

6 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 4

3 Corners 8

16 Free kicks against 24

3 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bastia 14. · Toulouse 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	21	11	8	2	+26	41
2	Ajaccio	20	12	5	3	+13	41
3	Sochaux	21	11	6	4	+6	39
4	Paris FC	20	11	4	5	+9	37
5	Auxerre	20	10	6	4	+10	36
6	Le Havre	21	8	9	4	+6	33
7	Niort	19	8	4	7	+2	28
8	Pau FC	21	8	4	9	+0	28
9	Rodez	21	7	6	8	-3	27
10	Nimes	20	7	5	8	-1	26
11	Dijon	21	8	2	11	-2	26
12	Guingamp	21	6	8	7	-4	26
13	Quevilly Rouen	20	6	6	8	-8	24
14	Bastia	21	5	8	8	-1	23
15	Caen	20	5	7	8	+0	22
16	Grenoble	21	6	4	11	-10	22
17	Valenciennes	20	5	7	8	-12	22
18	Amiens	20	4	9	7	+2	21
19	Dunkerque	19	4	4	11	-11	16
20	Nancy	21	3	6	12	-22	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajaccio	10	7	2	1	+9	23
2	Toulouse	11	6	4	1	+17	22
3	Pau FC	11	7	1	3	+10	22
4	Sochaux	11	6	3	2	+4	21
5	Paris FC	10	5	4	1	+5	19
6	Auxerre	10	5	3	2	+10	18
7	Bastia	10	3	7	0	+7	16
8	Niort	9	5	1	3	+5	16
9	Grenoble	10	5	1	4	+2	16
10	Le Havre	11	4	4	3	+2	16
11	Guingamp	10	4	3	3	+1	15
12	Dijon	11	4	2	5	-1	14
13	Amiens	11	3	4	4	+4	13
14	Rodez	10	3	4	3	+0	13
15	Nimes	10	3	3	4	-2	12
16	Caen	10	3	1	6	+1	10
17	Quevilly Rouen	9	2	4	3	-3	10
18	Dunkerque	10	2	3	5	-5	9
19	Nancy	10	2	3	5	-11	9
20	Valenciennes	10	2	2	6	-11	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	10	5	4	1	+9	19
2	Paris FC	10	6	0	4	+4	18
3	Ajaccio	10	5	3	2	+4	18
4	Sochaux	10	5	3	2	+2	18
5	Auxerre	10	5	3	2	+0	18
6	Le Havre	10	4	5	1	+4	17
7	Nimes	10	4	2	4	+1	14
8	Valenciennes	10	3	5	2	-1	14
9	Rodez	11	4	2	5	-3	14
10	Quevilly Rouen	11	4	2	5	-5	14
11	Caen	10	2	6	2	-1	12
12	Dijon	10	4	0	6	-1	12
13	Niort	10	3	3	4	-3	12
14	Guingamp	11	2	5	4	-5	11
15	Amiens	9	1	5	3	-2	8
16	Dunkerque	9	2	1	6	-6	7
17	Bastia	11	2	1	8	-8	7
18	Pau FC	10	1	3	6	-10	6
19	Nancy	11	1	3	7	-11	6
20	Grenoble	11	1	3	7	-12	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.