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Ligue 2

Bastia

S U T U S

1–0

Full-time

Dunkerque

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Dunkerque

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

67%

17%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 27%

25%

29%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

32%

29%

Both score Ø 41%

46%

36%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

9 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 0

2 Corners 6

17 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 14. · Dunkerque 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	28	16	9	3	+36	57
2	Paris FC	28	16	7	5	+19	55
3	Auxerre	28	14	9	5	+14	51
4	Ajaccio	28	15	6	7	+10	51
5	Sochaux	28	13	8	7	+5	47
6	Le Havre	28	10	11	7	+2	41
7	Nimes	28	11	6	11	-2	39
8	Pau FC	28	11	5	12	-2	38
9	Amiens	28	8	12	8	+10	36
10	Caen	28	9	8	11	+6	35
11	Niort	28	10	5	13	-2	35
12	Guingamp	28	8	11	9	-6	35
13	Dijon	28	10	4	14	-5	34
14	Bastia	28	7	12	9	+1	33
15	Valenciennes	28	7	11	10	-9	32
16	Rodez	28	7	10	11	-8	31
17	Dunkerque	28	8	6	14	-12	30
18	Quevilly Rouen	28	7	9	12	-14	30
19	Grenoble	28	8	5	15	-15	29
20	Nancy	28	4	8	16	-28	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	14	9	4	1	+26	31
2	Paris FC	14	9	4	1	+14	31
3	Pau FC	14	9	1	4	+9	28
4	Ajaccio	14	8	3	3	+8	27
5	Amiens	15	7	4	4	+13	25
6	Auxerre	14	7	4	3	+11	25
7	Sochaux	14	7	4	3	+4	25
8	Caen	15	7	1	7	+9	22
9	Guingamp	14	5	6	3	+2	21
10	Bastia	14	3	11	0	+7	20
11	Niort	13	6	2	5	+5	20
12	Dijon	14	6	2	6	+0	20
13	Le Havre	15	5	5	5	+0	20
14	Grenoble	14	6	2	6	-1	20
15	Dunkerque	15	5	5	5	-1	20
16	Nimes	14	5	4	5	+0	19
17	Rodez	13	3	6	4	-2	15
18	Quevilly Rouen	13	3	6	4	-4	15
19	Valenciennes	14	4	3	7	-7	15
20	Nancy	13	3	4	6	-10	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	14	7	5	2	+10	26
2	Auxerre	14	7	5	2	+3	26
3	Paris FC	14	7	3	4	+5	24
4	Ajaccio	14	7	3	4	+2	24
5	Sochaux	14	6	4	4	+1	22
6	Le Havre	13	5	6	2	+2	21
7	Nimes	14	6	2	6	-2	20
8	Valenciennes	14	3	8	3	-2	17
9	Rodez	15	4	4	7	-6	16
10	Niort	15	4	3	8	-7	15
11	Quevilly Rouen	15	4	3	8	-10	15
12	Dijon	14	4	2	8	-5	14
13	Guingamp	14	3	5	6	-8	14
14	Caen	13	2	7	4	-3	13
15	Bastia	14	4	1	9	-6	13
16	Amiens	13	1	8	4	-3	11
17	Dunkerque	13	3	1	9	-11	10
18	Pau FC	14	2	4	8	-11	10
19	Grenoble	14	2	3	9	-14	9
20	Nancy	15	1	4	10	-18	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.