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Ligue 2

Caen

S T U S T

2–1

Full-time

Bastia

T U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 26%

28%

24%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

40%

32%

Both score Ø 44%

44%

Average goals

2,4

2,0

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

12 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 3

4 Corners 3

15 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 14. · Bastia 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	25	14	9	2	+35	51
2	Paris FC	26	15	6	5	+17	51
3	Ajaccio	25	13	6	6	+9	45
4	Sochaux	26	12	8	6	+5	44
5	Auxerre	25	11	9	5	+10	42
6	Niort	25	10	5	10	+2	35
7	Nimes	25	10	5	10	+0	35
8	Le Havre	25	8	11	6	+0	35
9	Pau FC	25	10	5	10	-1	35
10	Guingamp	25	7	10	8	-6	31
11	Amiens	25	6	12	7	+7	30
12	Dijon	25	9	3	13	-5	30
13	Rodez	25	7	9	9	-5	30
14	Caen	25	7	8	10	+3	29
15	Bastia	25	6	11	8	+1	29
16	Quevilly Rouen	25	7	8	10	-11	29
17	Valenciennes	25	6	9	10	-10	27
18	Grenoble	25	7	4	14	-14	25
19	Dunkerque	25	6	6	13	-12	24
20	Nancy	25	4	8	13	-25	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	13	8	4	1	+24	28
2	Paris FC	13	8	4	1	+12	28
3	Pau FC	13	8	1	4	+8	25
4	Ajaccio	12	7	3	2	+8	24
5	Sochaux	13	6	4	3	+3	22
6	Niort	12	6	2	4	+6	20
7	Auxerre	12	5	4	3	+9	19
8	Amiens	13	5	4	4	+9	19
9	Bastia	13	3	10	0	+7	19
10	Grenoble	12	6	1	5	+1	19
11	Nimes	13	5	3	5	+0	18
12	Guingamp	12	4	5	3	+1	17
13	Le Havre	13	4	5	4	+0	17
14	Dijon	13	5	2	6	-1	17
15	Caen	13	5	1	7	+5	16
16	Rodez	12	3	6	3	+0	15
17	Quevilly Rouen	12	3	6	3	-2	15
18	Dunkerque	13	3	5	5	-3	14
19	Nancy	12	3	4	5	-9	13
20	Valenciennes	12	3	2	7	-8	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	12	6	5	1	+11	23
2	Paris FC	13	7	2	4	+5	23
3	Auxerre	13	6	5	2	+1	23
4	Sochaux	13	6	4	3	+2	22
5	Ajaccio	13	6	3	4	+1	21
6	Le Havre	12	4	6	2	+0	18
7	Nimes	12	5	2	5	+0	17
8	Valenciennes	13	3	7	3	-2	16
9	Niort	13	4	3	6	-4	15
10	Rodez	13	4	3	6	-5	15
11	Guingamp	13	3	5	5	-7	14
12	Quevilly Rouen	13	4	2	7	-9	14
13	Caen	12	2	7	3	-2	13
14	Dijon	12	4	1	7	-4	13
15	Amiens	12	1	8	3	-2	11
16	Bastia	12	3	1	8	-6	10
17	Dunkerque	12	3	1	8	-9	10
18	Pau FC	12	2	4	6	-9	10
19	Nancy	13	1	4	8	-16	7
20	Grenoble	13	1	3	9	-15	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.