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Serie B

Cosenza

T U S T T

2–2

Full-time

Lecce

T S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cosenza Lecce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,8

This season — Serie B · 28/29 matches

Win Ø 33%

18%

48%

Points per game

0,8

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

39%

48%

Both score Ø 57%

54%

59%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

0,9

1,6

Conceded

1,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

8 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 5

2 Corners 2

12 Free kicks against 6

8 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cosenza 17. · Lecce 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	29	15	10	4	+17	55
2	Lecce	29	14	12	3	+22	54
3	Cremonese	29	15	8	6	+15	53
4	Brescia	29	14	10	5	+15	52
5	Monza	29	14	9	6	+17	51
6	Benevento	28	14	8	6	+20	50
7	Frosinone	29	12	12	5	+16	48
8	Ascoli	29	13	7	9	+4	46
9	Perugia	29	11	12	6	+7	45
10	Cittadella	29	11	10	8	+4	43
11	Reggina	29	11	6	12	-9	39
12	Ternana	29	10	7	12	-4	37
13	Como	29	8	13	8	-4	37
14	Parma	29	7	14	8	+3	35
15	Spal	29	7	10	12	-9	31
16	Alessandria	29	6	7	16	-17	25
17	Cosenza	28	5	8	15	-20	23
18	Vicenza	29	5	6	18	-22	21
19	Crotone	29	2	10	17	-21	16
20	Pordenone	29	2	7	20	-34	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	15	10	3	2	+17	33
2	Lecce	15	9	5	1	+18	32
3	Pisa	15	8	6	1	+10	30
4	Cremonese	14	8	5	1	+11	29
5	Benevento	15	8	4	3	+15	28
6	Frosinone	15	7	6	2	+13	27
7	Reggina	15	7	2	6	-1	23
8	Ternana	15	7	1	7	+2	22
9	Cittadella	14	6	3	5	+5	21
10	Brescia	14	5	6	3	+4	21
11	Parma	15	4	7	4	+5	19
12	Perugia	14	4	6	4	+2	18
13	Como	14	4	6	4	+1	18
14	Ascoli	14	4	5	5	-2	17
15	Cosenza	13	5	2	6	-2	17
16	Alessandria	14	4	4	6	-5	16
17	Spal	15	3	6	6	+1	15
18	Crotone	14	2	7	5	-4	13
19	Vicenza	14	3	4	7	-5	13
20	Pordenone	15	1	5	9	-14	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	15	9	4	2	+11	31
2	Ascoli	15	9	2	4	+6	29
3	Perugia	15	7	6	2	+5	27
4	Pisa	14	7	4	3	+7	25
5	Cremonese	15	7	3	5	+4	24
6	Benevento	13	6	4	3	+5	22
7	Lecce	14	5	7	2	+4	22
8	Cittadella	15	5	7	3	-1	22
9	Frosinone	14	5	6	3	+3	21
10	Como	15	4	7	4	-5	19
11	Monza	14	4	6	4	+0	18
12	Parma	14	3	7	4	-2	16
13	Reggina	14	4	4	6	-8	16
14	Spal	14	4	4	6	-10	16
15	Ternana	14	3	6	5	-6	15
16	Alessandria	15	2	3	10	-12	9
17	Vicenza	15	2	2	11	-17	8
18	Cosenza	15	0	6	9	-18	6
19	Pordenone	14	1	2	11	-20	5
20	Crotone	15	0	3	12	-17	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.