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Ligue 2
Referee: P Legat
Valenciennes
U S S U T
2–1
Full-time
Sochaux
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valenciennes Sochaux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,2
2,8
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+2,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,4
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
22%
56%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,4
Scored
0,9
1,9
Conceded
0,9
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

41% Possession 59%
9 Shots 21
6 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valenciennes 7. · Sochaux 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sochaux 9 6 1 2 +12 19
2 Le Havre 9 5 3 1 +11 18
3 Bordeaux 9 5 2 2 +8 17
4 Amiens 9 5 2 2 +3 17
5 Guingamp 8 5 1 2 +6 16
6 Caen 9 4 3 2 +5 15
7 Valenciennes 9 3 4 2 +0 13
8 Grenoble 10 3 4 3 -2 13
9 Bastia 9 4 1 4 -3 13
10 Metz 9 3 2 4 +2 11
11 St Etienne 10 2 5 3 -1 11
12 Dijon 9 3 2 4 -3 11
13 Paris FC 9 2 4 3 -2 10
14 Laval 9 3 1 5 -3 10
15 Pau FC 9 2 4 3 -6 10
16 Annecy 9 2 3 4 -2 9
17 Rodez 8 2 3 3 -4 9
18 Nimes 9 2 2 5 -4 8
19 Quevilly Rouen 9 1 4 4 -7 7
20 Niort 9 2 1 6 -10 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Valenciennes Sochaux
Mohamed Kaba 🟨
15′
1–0 J. Cuffaut
25′
31′
A. Kalulu 1–1
T. Mauricio
Half-time 2–1
2–1 N. Diliberto
58′
Mathis Picouleau 🟨
60′
I. Hamache 🔁
↦ M. Picouleau
66′
N. Innocenti 🔁
↦ M. Noubissi
67′
L. Nomel 🔁
↦ Q. Lecoeuche
67′
70′
🟨 Rassoul Ndiaye
70′
🔁 R. Pereira De Sa
↦ F. Kanouté
Nassim Innocenti 🟨
72′
76′
🔁 H. Tebily
↦ T. Mauricio
85′
🔁 M. Do Couto
↦ M. Doumbia
89′
🟨 Maxime Do Couto
F. Ayité 🔁
↦ J. Berthomier
92′
Noah Diliberto 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Valenciennes

4-3-1-2
1 G. Larsonneur G
14 J. Cuffaut D
37 M. Rabuel D
39 Jonathan Buatu D
28 Q. Lecoeuche D
8 N. Diliberto M
21 M. Kaba M
27 M. Picouleau M
5 J. Berthomier M
9 M. Noubissi F
11 U. Bonnet F
Bench (7)
20 I. Hamache
19 N. Innocenti
18 L. Nomel
7 F. Ayité
16 H. Konaté
15 A. Zinga
24 A. Linguet

Coach: N. Rabuel

Sochaux

4-1-4-1
16 M. Prévot G
28 J. Faussurier D
22 I. Aaneba D
5 S. Agouzoul D
4 A. Ndour D
77 F. Kanouté M
7 T. Mauricio M
15 A. Kalulu M
14 R. Ndiaye M
70 M. Doumbia M
10 G. Weissbeck F
Bench (7)
6 R. Pereira De Sa
27 H. Tebily
11 M. Do Couto
50 K. Agro
18 Y. Armougom
29 V. Henry
80 S. Alvero

Coach: O. Guégan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,43
U
3,07
B
2,23
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,45
U2,5
1,53
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

P Legat · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.