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Ligue 2

Referee: P Legat

Pau FC

U U T T U

2–2

Full-time

St Etienne

U U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

4,0

Scored

0,5

1,8

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

4,0

Scored

0,5

1,8

Conceded

1,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

54% Possession 46%

8 Shots 5

2 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

5 Corners 0

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Pau FC 20. · St Etienne 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bordeaux	7	4	2	1	+9	14
2	Amiens	7	4	2	1	+2	14
3	Sochaux	7	4	1	2	+8	13
4	Le Havre	7	3	3	1	+8	12
5	Caen	7	3	3	1	+4	12
6	Valenciennes	7	3	3	1	+1	12
7	Metz	7	3	2	2	+6	11
8	Dijon	7	3	2	2	+0	11
9	Guingamp	6	3	1	2	+2	10
10	Grenoble	7	2	3	2	-2	9
11	Bastia	7	3	0	4	-4	9
12	Nimes	7	2	1	4	-2	7
13	Paris FC	7	1	4	2	-2	7
14	Laval	7	2	1	4	-4	7
15	Quevilly Rouen	7	1	4	2	-4	7
16	Niort	7	2	1	4	-6	7
17	Annecy	7	1	3	3	-1	6
18	St Etienne	6	1	3	2	-2	6
19	Rodez	6	1	2	3	-5	5
20	Pau FC	6	0	3	3	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Amiens	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Valenciennes	4	2	2	0	+2	8
3	Sochaux	4	2	1	1	+5	7
4	Metz	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	Caen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Bordeaux	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Grenoble	3	2	1	0	+2	7
8	Dijon	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Quevilly Rouen	4	1	3	0	+1	6
10	Le Havre	4	1	3	0	+1	6
11	Nimes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Bastia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
13	Guingamp	3	1	1	1	+3	4
14	St Etienne	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Paris FC	3	1	1	1	-1	4
16	Niort	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Annecy	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Laval	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Pau FC	2	0	1	1	-3	1
20	Rodez	3	0	1	2	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bordeaux	3	2	1	0	+5	7
2	Le Havre	3	2	0	1	+7	6
3	Sochaux	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Guingamp	3	2	0	1	-1	6
5	Laval	4	2	0	2	-1	6
6	Annecy	4	1	2	1	+1	5
7	Caen	4	1	2	1	+0	5
8	Metz	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Rodez	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Dijon	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Valenciennes	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Amiens	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Niort	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Paris FC	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Bastia	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	St Etienne	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Grenoble	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Pau FC	4	0	2	2	-5	2
19	Nimes	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Quevilly Rouen	3	0	1	2	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.