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Ligue 2
Bastia
T U T U T
2–0
Full-time
Ajaccio
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Ajaccio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,2
1,3
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 34%
11%
56%
Points per game
0,8
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 28%
33%
22%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,8
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,2
0,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

5 Shots 6
4 Shots on target 0
0 Corners 2
15 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bastia 18. · Ajaccio 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Toulouse 9 7 2 0 +14 23
2 Sochaux 10 6 2 2 +5 20
3 Auxerre 10 5 4 1 +11 19
4 Ajaccio 9 5 4 0 +8 19
5 Le Havre 10 4 5 1 +4 17
6 Paris FC 10 5 1 4 +2 16
7 Pau FC 10 4 3 3 +3 15
8 Niort 10 4 3 3 +1 15
9 Nimes 10 3 4 3 +2 13
10 Rodez 10 3 4 3 -2 13
11 Quevilly Rouen 10 3 3 4 -1 12
12 Valenciennes 10 3 3 4 -5 12
13 Caen 9 3 2 4 +1 11
14 Guingamp 10 2 5 3 -3 11
15 Grenoble 10 3 2 5 -6 11
16 Dijon 10 3 1 6 -5 10
17 Amiens 10 1 5 4 -4 8
18 Bastia 9 1 4 4 -4 7
19 Dunkerque 10 1 3 6 -8 6
20 Nancy 10 0 4 6 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,75
U
2,98
B
2,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,37
U2,5 ✓
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.