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Ligue 2

Referee: N Rainville

Ajaccio

T U T S U

2–0

Full-time

Bastia

S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

0,7

0,8

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 2 · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

50%

63%

Both score Ø 38%

38%

Average goals

2,0

2,6

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

11 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

8 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Ajaccio 13. · Bastia 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	9	7	1	1	+7	22
2	Grenoble	9	5	4	0	+7	19
3	Auxerre	9	5	3	1	+11	18
4	Angers	9	5	2	2	+4	17
5	Guingamp	9	4	2	3	+6	14
6	Rodez	9	4	2	3	+2	14
7	St Etienne	8	4	2	2	+2	14
8	Pau FC	9	4	2	3	+0	14
9	Amiens	9	4	2	3	+0	14
10	Caen	8	4	0	4	+5	12
11	Annecy	9	2	5	2	-1	11
12	Bordeaux	8	3	2	3	-3	11
13	Ajaccio	8	2	4	2	-4	10
14	Bastia	8	2	2	4	-5	8
15	Concarneau	9	2	2	5	-7	8
16	Troyes	9	1	4	4	-2	7
17	Paris FC	9	2	1	6	-4	7
18	Dunkerque	8	1	3	4	-5	6
19	Valenciennes	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Quevilly Rouen	9	1	2	6	-5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	5	5	0	0	+5	15
2	Angers	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	Amiens	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Grenoble	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	Pau FC	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Rodez	4	3	0	1	+4	9
7	Auxerre	5	2	2	1	+5	8
8	Guingamp	4	2	1	1	+6	7
9	Paris FC	4	2	0	2	+3	6
10	Caen	5	2	0	3	+2	6
11	Bordeaux	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Ajaccio	4	1	3	0	+1	6
13	Annecy	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Bastia	4	2	0	2	-2	6
15	Troyes	4	1	1	2	+0	4
16	St Etienne	3	1	1	1	+0	4
17	Dunkerque	5	0	2	3	-3	2
18	Concarneau	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Quevilly Rouen	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Valenciennes	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	St Etienne	5	3	1	1	+2	10
3	Grenoble	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Laval	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Guingamp	5	2	1	2	+0	7
6	Caen	3	2	0	1	+3	6
7	Angers	4	2	0	2	-2	6
8	Concarneau	5	2	0	3	-4	6
9	Annecy	4	1	2	1	-1	5
10	Rodez	5	1	2	2	-2	5
11	Valenciennes	5	1	2	2	-3	5
12	Bordeaux	5	1	2	2	-4	5
13	Quevilly Rouen	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Dunkerque	3	1	1	1	-2	4
15	Pau FC	4	1	1	2	-3	4
16	Ajaccio	4	1	1	2	-5	4
17	Troyes	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Amiens	4	1	0	3	-5	3
19	Bastia	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Paris FC	5	0	1	4	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.