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Ligue 2

Referee: A Kherradji

St Etienne

T T T T U

3–2

Full-time

Bastia

T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 34%

39%

28%

Points per game

1,4

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

33%

44%

Both score Ø 36%

39%

33%

Average goals

1,9

2,2

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%

12 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 6

3 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 19

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 10. · Bastia 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	18	11	4	3	+16	37
2	Auxerre	18	10	5	3	+18	35
3	Laval	18	10	4	4	+6	34
4	Grenoble	18	8	7	3	+5	31
5	Pau FC	18	8	6	4	+3	30
6	Guingamp	18	7	6	5	+8	27
7	Ajaccio	18	7	6	5	+1	27
8	Paris FC	18	8	2	8	+1	26
9	Caen	18	7	4	7	+2	25
10	St Etienne	18	7	4	7	-1	25
11	Rodez	18	6	6	6	+1	24
12	Amiens	18	6	6	6	-4	24
13	Concarneau	18	6	4	8	-5	22
14	Bastia	18	5	6	7	-1	21
15	Bordeaux	18	5	5	8	-7	20
16	Troyes	18	4	7	7	-3	19
17	Annecy	18	4	7	7	-5	19
18	Quevilly Rouen	18	3	7	8	-4	16
19	Dunkerque	18	3	4	11	-17	13
20	Valenciennes	18	1	8	9	-14	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Angers	9	7	2	0	+14	23
2	Ajaccio	9	5	4	0	+8	19
3	Rodez	9	5	3	1	+8	18
4	Pau FC	9	5	3	1	+6	18
5	Grenoble	9	5	3	1	+4	18
6	Auxerre	9	5	2	2	+10	17
7	Laval	9	5	2	2	+1	17
8	Amiens	10	4	4	2	+2	16
9	Bastia	9	4	3	2	+1	15
10	Caen	9	4	2	3	+4	14
11	Paris FC	9	4	1	4	+3	13
12	Guingamp	9	3	3	3	+5	12
13	Bordeaux	9	3	3	3	+1	12
14	St Etienne	9	3	2	4	+0	11
15	Troyes	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	Annecy	9	2	4	3	-1	10
17	Quevilly Rouen	9	2	3	4	-1	9
18	Concarneau	8	2	2	4	-3	8
19	Valenciennes	9	0	4	5	-7	4
20	Dunkerque	9	0	2	7	-13	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	9	5	3	1	+8	18
2	Laval	9	5	2	2	+5	17
3	Guingamp	9	4	3	2	+3	15
4	Angers	9	4	2	3	+2	14
5	St Etienne	9	4	2	3	-1	14
6	Concarneau	10	4	2	4	-2	14
7	Grenoble	9	3	4	2	+1	13
8	Paris FC	9	4	1	4	-2	13
9	Pau FC	9	3	3	3	-3	12
10	Caen	9	3	2	4	-2	11
11	Dunkerque	9	3	2	4	-4	11
12	Annecy	9	2	3	4	-4	9
13	Troyes	9	1	5	3	-2	8
14	Amiens	8	2	2	4	-6	8
15	Ajaccio	9	2	2	5	-7	8
16	Bordeaux	9	2	2	5	-8	8
17	Quevilly Rouen	9	1	4	4	-3	7
18	Valenciennes	9	1	4	4	-7	7
19	Bastia	9	1	3	5	-2	6
20	Rodez	9	1	3	5	-7	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.