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Ligue 2
Referee: A Souifi
St Etienne
S U S T T
5–0
Full-time
Troyes
U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Troyes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,3
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 33%
39%
26%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
30%
48%
Both score Ø 46%
35%
57%
Average goals
1,9
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
18 Shots 9
11 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 7
4 Corners 3
3 Offside 0
21 Free kicks against 9
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match St Etienne 12. · Troyes 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 24 13 8 3 +23 47
2 Angers 24 14 4 6 +15 46
3 Grenoble 24 10 10 4 +11 40
4 Laval 24 11 7 6 +3 40
5 Caen 24 10 6 8 +2 36
6 Ajaccio 24 10 6 8 +1 36
7 Amiens 24 9 8 7 -3 35
8 Pau FC 24 8 10 6 +1 34
9 Paris FC 24 9 6 9 +1 33
10 Guingamp 24 8 8 8 +2 32
11 Rodez 24 8 8 8 +1 32
12 St Etienne 23 9 5 9 -1 32
13 Bordeaux 24 9 5 10 -4 32
14 Concarneau 24 9 4 11 -5 31
15 Bastia 24 8 6 10 -1 30
16 Troyes 23 6 9 8 -1 27
17 Dunkerque 24 6 6 12 -15 24
18 Annecy 24 5 8 11 -8 23
19 Quevilly Rouen 24 4 9 11 -5 21
20 Valenciennes 24 2 9 13 -17 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

St Etienne Troyes
0–1 A. N'Diaye
own goal
16′
Mickael Nade 🟨
20′
Anthony Briançon 🟨
36′
1–1 I. Sissoko
M. Nadé
38′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Abdu Conté
↦ I. Boura
46′
🔁 M. Bangré
↦ A. Bruus
46′
🔁 J. Olaïtan
↦ R. Saïd
Thomas Monconduit 🟨
47′
2–1 N. Mbuku
D. Chambost
51′
Mathieu Cafaro 🟨
55′
3–1 Y. Maçon
M. Cafaro
63′
I. Cardona 🔁
↦ I. Sissoko
65′
B. Bouchouari 🔁
↦ N. Mbuku
66′
L. Pétrot 🔁
↦ M. Nadé
66′
66′
🔁 R. Ripart
↦ S. Elisor
L. Fomba 🔁
↦ T. Monconduit
74′
4–1 A. Briançon
D. Chambost
78′
79′
🔁 M. Diop
↦ Y. MChangama
M. Rivera 🔁
↦ M. Cafaro
80′
Irvin Cardona 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Doğan Alemdar
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

St Etienne

4-1-4-1
30 G. Larsonneur G
8 D. Appiah D
23 A. Briançon D
3 M. Nadé D
27 Y. Maçon D
7 T. Monconduit M
10 N. Mbuku M
29 A. Moueffek M
14 D. Chambost M
18 M. Cafaro M
9 I. Sissoko F
Bench (7)
11 I. Cardona
6 B. Bouchouari
19 L. Pétrot
26 L. Fomba
20 M. Rivera
42 E. Green
13 M. Bentayg

Coach: O. Dall’Oglio

Troyes

4-1-4-1
38 D. Alemdar G
4 E. Ntim D
5 M. Tahrat D
3 A. N'Diaye D
8 I. Boura D
42 A. Kanté M
19 A. Bruus M
10 Y. M'Changama M
24 X. Chavalerin M
11 R. Saïd M
14 S. Elisor F
Bench (7)
12 Abdu Conté
7 M. Bangré
23 J. Olaïtan
20 R. Ripart
28 M. Diop
22 T. Zoukrou
30 Z. Boucher

Coach: D. Guion

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
3,70
B
4,70
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,87
U2,5
1,90
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Souifi · 58 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.