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Ligue 1

Referee: Nicolas Rainville

Troyes

T T U T S

2–1

Full-time

St Etienne

S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Troyes St Etienne

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,5

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,3

This season — Ligue 1 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

29%

57%

Points per game

1,1

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

29%

43%

Both score Ø 36%

43%

29%

Average goals

1,6

2,1

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

29% Possession 71%

9 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 8

1 Offside 4

7 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Troyes 13. · St Etienne 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	8	7	1	0	+22	22
2	Monaco	8	6	1	1	+13	19
3	Nantes	8	5	1	2	+1	16
4	Caen	8	5	0	3	+3	15
5	Bordeaux	8	4	3	1	+2	15
6	St Etienne	7	4	2	1	+3	14
7	Marseille	7	4	1	2	+1	13
8	Lyon	7	3	3	1	+4	12
9	Nice	7	3	1	3	+2	10
10	Guingamp	8	3	1	4	-3	10
11	Montpellier	8	2	3	3	-1	9
12	Angers	7	1	5	1	+1	8
13	Troyes	7	2	2	3	-1	8
14	Toulouse	8	2	2	4	-6	8
15	Rennes	8	1	3	4	-2	6
16	Amiens	7	2	0	5	-6	6
17	Dijon	8	1	3	4	-7	6
18	Lille	7	1	2	4	-7	5
19	Strasbourg	8	1	2	5	-8	5
20	Metz	8	1	0	7	-11	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	5	5	0	0	+15	15
2	Monaco	4	3	1	0	+9	10
3	Bordeaux	3	3	0	0	+5	9
4	Caen	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Lyon	4	2	2	0	+5	8
6	St Etienne	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Nice	4	2	1	1	+5	7
8	Marseille	4	2	1	1	+3	7
9	Nantes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Guingamp	4	2	1	1	+0	7
11	Toulouse	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Montpellier	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Dijon	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Lille	4	1	1	2	-3	4
15	Strasbourg	3	1	0	2	+1	3
16	Amiens	3	1	0	2	-1	3
17	Angers	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Troyes	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Rennes	4	0	1	3	-3	1
20	Metz	4	0	0	4	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	4	3	0	1	+4	9
2	Nantes	4	3	0	1	+0	9
3	Paris SG	3	2	1	0	+7	7
4	Angers	4	1	3	0	+2	6
5	Troyes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Caen	4	2	0	2	+1	6
7	St Etienne	3	2	0	1	-1	6
8	Marseille	3	2	0	1	-2	6
9	Bordeaux	5	1	3	1	-3	6
10	Rennes	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Montpellier	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Lyon	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Guingamp	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Metz	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Nice	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Amiens	4	1	0	3	-5	3
17	Dijon	4	0	2	2	-4	2
18	Toulouse	5	0	2	3	-7	2
19	Strasbourg	5	0	2	3	-9	2
20	Lille	3	0	1	2	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.