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Ligue 1

Referee: R Lissorgue

St Etienne

S U T S U

1–1

Full-time

Troyes

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Etienne Troyes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 23%

21%

25%

Points per game

0,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

54%

39%

Both score Ø 58%

61%

54%

Average goals

2,8

2,4

Scored

1,0

0,9

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%

10 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 9

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Etienne 18. · Troyes 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	28	20	5	3	+35	65
2	Nice	28	15	6	7	+17	51
3	Marseille	28	14	8	6	+17	50
4	Rennes	28	15	4	9	+30	49
5	Strasbourg	28	13	8	7	+18	47
6	Lille	28	11	10	7	+2	43
7	Nantes	28	12	6	10	+6	42
8	Lyon	28	11	9	8	+3	42
9	Monaco	28	11	8	9	+10	41
10	Lens	28	11	8	9	+4	41
11	Montpellier	28	11	5	12	+1	38
12	Reims	28	8	11	9	+1	35
13	Brest	28	9	8	11	-6	35
14	Angers	28	7	8	13	-10	29
15	Troyes	28	7	7	14	-15	28
16	Clermont	28	7	7	14	-21	28
17	Lorient	28	6	9	13	-19	27
18	St Etienne	28	6	8	14	-22	26
19	Metz	28	4	11	13	-21	23
20	Bordeaux	28	4	10	14	-30	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	13	1	0	+27	40
2	Rennes	14	10	1	3	+24	31
3	Nantes	14	9	2	3	+11	29
4	Strasbourg	14	8	3	3	+15	27
5	Lyon	15	7	5	3	+7	26
6	Monaco	14	7	4	3	+13	25
7	Montpellier	15	7	3	5	+6	24
8	Nice	14	7	3	4	+4	24
9	Lille	14	6	6	2	+3	24
10	Lens	14	6	5	3	+8	23
11	Marseille	14	5	5	4	+6	20
12	Brest	14	5	3	6	-1	18
13	Reims	13	4	5	4	+5	17
14	Angers	14	5	1	8	-3	16
15	Lorient	13	4	4	5	-3	16
16	Troyes	14	3	6	5	-1	15
17	Clermont	14	3	5	6	-5	14
18	St Etienne	14	3	5	6	-9	14
19	Bordeaux	14	2	5	7	-7	11
20	Metz	14	1	6	7	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Marseille	14	9	3	2	+11	30
2	Nice	14	8	3	3	+13	27
3	Paris SG	14	7	4	3	+8	25
4	Strasbourg	14	5	5	4	+3	20
5	Lille	14	5	4	5	-1	19
6	Rennes	14	5	3	6	+6	18
7	Lens	14	5	3	6	-4	18
8	Reims	15	4	6	5	-4	18
9	Brest	14	4	5	5	-5	17
10	Monaco	14	4	4	6	-3	16
11	Lyon	13	4	4	5	-4	16
12	Montpellier	13	4	2	7	-5	14
13	Metz	14	3	5	6	-11	14
14	Clermont	14	4	2	8	-16	14
15	Nantes	14	3	4	7	-5	13
16	Angers	14	2	7	5	-7	13
17	Troyes	14	4	1	9	-14	13
18	St Etienne	14	3	3	8	-13	12
19	Lorient	15	2	5	8	-16	11
20	Bordeaux	14	2	5	7	-23	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.