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Ligue 2
Referee: F Letexier
Ajaccio
T U S S T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Quevilly Rouen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 58%
33%
83%
Average goals
1,8
4,0
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 27%
35%
18%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
35%
53%
Both score Ø 47%
35%
59%
Average goals
2,1
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%
11 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 1
4 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ajaccio 14. · Quevilly Rouen 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Auxerre 34 18 10 6 +29 64
2 St Etienne 35 19 6 10 +18 63
3 Angers 34 18 7 9 +14 61
4 Rodez 34 14 11 9 +10 53
5 Paris FC 34 14 10 10 +6 52
6 Pau FC 34 13 12 9 +7 51
7 Caen 35 15 6 14 +2 51
8 Laval 34 13 10 11 -5 49
9 Guingamp 34 12 11 11 +5 47
10 Bastia 34 13 8 13 -3 47
11 Grenoble 34 11 12 11 +1 45
12 Amiens 34 10 15 9 -3 45
13 Bordeaux 34 12 9 13 -4 45
14 Ajaccio 34 12 9 13 -4 45
15 Dunkerque 34 11 8 15 -15 41
16 Annecy 34 10 9 15 -3 39
17 Troyes 34 8 12 14 -8 36
18 Concarneau 34 9 8 17 -15 35
19 Quevilly Rouen 34 6 16 12 -3 34
20 Valenciennes 34 3 11 20 -29 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ajaccio Quevilly Rouen
21′
🟨 Mamadou Camara
24′
K. Coulibaly 0–1
M. Soumano 🔁
↦ Y. Touzghar
35′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 H. Sakhi
53′
71′
🟨 Kalifa Coulibaly
72′
🔁 S. Loric
↦ A. Sissoko
72′
🔁 L. Delaurier-Chaubet
↦ M. Camara
73′
🔁 S. Soumano
↦ K. Coulibaly
78′
🔁 D. Poha
↦ N. Cadiou
84′
🔁 Y. Roche
↦ P. Yade
V. Jacob 🔁
↦ M. Barreto
86′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Ajaccio

4-4-2
1 M. Michel G
20 M. Youssouf D
21 C. Avinel D
5 C. Vidal D
31 T. Strata D
4 M. Barreto M
26 T. Jabol-Folcarelli M
6 T. Mangani M
29 H. Sakhi M
18 C. Ibayi F
9 Y. Touzghar F
Bench (7)
22 M. Soumano
10 V. Jacob
43 K. Kouassi
40 S. Contena
44 J. Escartin
41 A. Fosse
35 A. Khelifa

Coach: O. Pantaloni

Quevilly Rouen

5-4-1
1 B. Leroy G
58 A. Sissoko D
6 A. Batisse D
4 B. Pierret D
5 T. Cissokho D
7 J. Pendant D
90 P. Yade M
8 N. Cadiou M
12 G. Gbellé M
93 M. Camara M
19 K. Coulibaly F
Bench (6)
22 S. Loric
23 L. Delaurier-Chaubet
9 S. Soumano
31 D. Poha
21 Y. Roche
16 K. Bonnevie

Coach: J. Garcia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,55
U ✓
2,87
B
3,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,83
U2,5 ✓
1,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Letexier · 176 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.