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Ligue 2

Referee: R Landry

Metz

U S S U T

0–0

Full-time

Pau FC

S S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Metz Pau FC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,2

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,8

This season — Ligue 2 · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 44%

50%

38%

Points per game

1,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

31%

38%

Both score Ø 44%

50%

38%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%

21 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 6

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Metz 5. · Pau FC 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	16	10	3	3	+15	33
2	Paris FC	17	9	4	4	+10	31
3	Dunkerque	16	10	1	5	+5	31
4	Annecy	17	8	6	3	+6	30
5	Metz	16	8	5	3	+11	29
6	Laval	16	7	4	5	+8	25
7	Guingamp	16	8	1	7	+4	25
8	Amiens	17	7	2	8	-4	23
9	Bastia	17	4	10	3	+1	22
10	Pau FC	16	6	4	6	-1	22
11	Grenoble	17	6	3	8	-1	21
12	Troyes	17	6	3	8	-1	21
13	Red Star	17	6	3	8	-10	21
14	Rodez	17	5	5	7	+1	20
15	Clermont	17	5	5	7	-4	20
16	Caen	17	4	3	10	-7	15
17	Ajaccio	17	4	3	10	-8	15
18	Martigues	17	3	3	11	-25	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	8	8	0	0	+16	24
2	Dunkerque	9	8	0	1	+9	24
3	Annecy	8	6	1	1	+9	19
4	Metz	8	5	3	0	+11	18
5	Pau FC	8	5	2	1	+7	17
6	Grenoble	9	5	2	2	+6	17
7	Amiens	9	5	2	2	+3	17
8	Guingamp	8	5	1	2	+11	16
9	Bastia	8	3	5	0	+4	14
10	Paris FC	8	4	2	2	+3	14
11	Ajaccio	9	4	2	3	+2	14
12	Laval	7	3	2	2	+2	11
13	Troyes	8	3	2	3	+1	11
14	Caen	9	3	2	4	-1	11
15	Red Star	8	3	2	3	-4	11
16	Clermont	9	2	4	3	+1	10
17	Rodez	8	3	1	4	-1	10
18	Martigues	9	0	1	8	-16	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	9	5	2	2	+7	17
2	Laval	9	4	2	3	+6	14
3	Metz	8	3	2	3	+0	11
4	Annecy	9	2	5	2	-3	11
5	Martigues	8	3	2	3	-9	11
6	Rodez	9	2	4	3	+2	10
7	Troyes	9	3	1	5	-2	10
8	Clermont	8	3	1	4	-5	10
9	Red Star	9	3	1	5	-6	10
10	Lorient	8	2	3	3	-1	9
11	Guingamp	8	3	0	5	-7	9
12	Bastia	9	1	5	3	-3	8
13	Dunkerque	7	2	1	4	-4	7
14	Amiens	8	2	0	6	-7	6
15	Pau FC	8	1	2	5	-8	5
16	Caen	8	1	1	6	-6	4
17	Grenoble	8	1	1	6	-7	4
18	Ajaccio	8	0	1	7	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.