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Ligue 2

Referee: B Dechepy

Bastia

U U S S T

4–0

Full-time

Ajaccio

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,7

1,7

Scored

2,0

0,3

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-1,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 24%

24%

Points per game

1,3

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

41%

24%

Both score Ø 41%

53%

29%

Average goals

2,1

1,8

Scored

1,1

0,6

Conceded

1,0

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

60% Possession 40%

13 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 2

7 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Bastia 12. · Ajaccio 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	17	10	3	4	+13	33
2	Dunkerque	18	10	3	5	+5	33
3	Paris FC	17	9	4	4	+10	31
4	Metz	17	8	6	3	+11	30
5	Annecy	18	8	6	4	+3	30
6	Laval	18	8	5	5	+10	29
7	Guingamp	18	9	2	7	+7	29
8	Pau FC	18	6	6	6	-1	24
9	Rodez	18	6	5	7	+2	23
10	Clermont	18	6	5	7	-3	23
11	Amiens	17	7	2	8	-4	23
12	Bastia	17	4	10	3	+1	22
13	Red Star	18	6	4	8	-10	22
14	Grenoble	17	6	3	8	-1	21
15	Troyes	18	6	3	9	-2	21
16	Caen	17	4	3	10	-7	15
17	Ajaccio	17	4	3	10	-8	15
18	Martigues	18	3	3	12	-26	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	8	8	0	0	+16	24
2	Dunkerque	9	8	0	1	+9	24
3	Metz	9	5	4	0	+11	19
4	Annecy	9	6	1	2	+6	19
5	Pau FC	9	5	3	1	+7	18
6	Guingamp	9	5	2	2	+11	17
7	Grenoble	9	5	2	2	+6	17
8	Amiens	9	5	2	2	+3	17
9	Laval	9	4	3	2	+4	15
10	Bastia	8	3	5	0	+4	14
11	Paris FC	8	4	2	2	+3	14
12	Ajaccio	9	4	2	3	+2	14
13	Rodez	9	4	1	4	+0	13
14	Troyes	8	3	2	3	+1	11
15	Caen	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	Red Star	8	3	2	3	-4	11
17	Clermont	9	2	4	3	+1	10
18	Martigues	10	0	1	9	-17	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	9	5	2	2	+7	17
2	Laval	9	4	2	3	+6	14
3	Clermont	9	4	1	4	-4	13
4	Guingamp	9	4	0	5	-4	12
5	Metz	8	3	2	3	+0	11
6	Annecy	9	2	5	2	-3	11
7	Red Star	10	3	2	5	-6	11
8	Martigues	8	3	2	3	-9	11
9	Rodez	9	2	4	3	+2	10
10	Troyes	10	3	1	6	-3	10
11	Lorient	9	2	3	4	-3	9
12	Dunkerque	9	2	3	4	-4	9
13	Bastia	9	1	5	3	-3	8
14	Amiens	8	2	0	6	-7	6
15	Pau FC	9	1	3	5	-8	6
16	Caen	8	1	1	6	-6	4
17	Grenoble	8	1	1	6	-7	4
18	Ajaccio	8	0	1	7	-10	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.