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Ligue 2

Referee: F Letexier

Bastia

U S U S T

1–0

Full-time

Martigues

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Martigues

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

1,8

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

0,8

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,8

This season — Ligue 2 · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 28%

28%

Points per game

1,4

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

32%

40%

Both score Ø 36%

48%

24%

Average goals

2,0

2,3

Scored

1,1

0,7

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%

18 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 7

7 Corners 1

5 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 9. · Martigues 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	25	16	4	5	+20	52
2	Paris FC	25	15	4	6	+16	49
3	Dunkerque	25	15	3	7	+12	48
4	Metz	25	13	8	4	+21	47
5	Guingamp	25	12	3	10	+8	39
6	Annecy	25	11	6	8	+0	39
7	Laval	25	10	7	8	+7	37
8	Grenoble	25	10	5	10	+1	35
9	Bastia	25	7	13	5	+5	34
10	Pau FC	25	8	9	8	-5	33
11	Troyes	25	9	3	13	+0	30
12	Ajaccio	25	9	3	13	-9	30
13	Amiens	25	9	3	13	-12	30
14	Red Star	25	8	5	12	-14	29
15	Rodez	25	7	6	12	-2	27
16	Clermont	25	6	7	12	-11	25
17	Martigues	25	7	3	15	-22	24
18	Caen	25	5	4	16	-15	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	13	11	1	1	+20	34
2	Dunkerque	13	10	0	3	+11	30
3	Metz	13	8	4	1	+17	28
4	Paris FC	12	8	2	2	+10	26
5	Grenoble	13	7	4	2	+8	25
6	Amiens	13	7	2	4	+1	23
7	Bastia	12	5	7	0	+9	22
8	Annecy	12	7	1	4	+4	22
9	Pau FC	12	6	4	2	+3	22
10	Guingamp	12	6	2	4	+10	20
11	Ajaccio	13	6	2	5	+2	20
12	Laval	12	5	3	4	+3	18
13	Troyes	12	5	2	5	+4	17
14	Red Star	12	5	2	5	-4	17
15	Rodez	12	4	2	6	-3	14
16	Clermont	13	2	6	5	-1	12
17	Caen	13	3	3	7	-5	12
18	Martigues	13	2	1	10	-13	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	13	7	2	4	+6	23
2	Laval	13	5	4	4	+4	19
3	Metz	12	5	4	3	+4	19
4	Guingamp	13	6	1	6	-2	19
5	Dunkerque	12	5	3	4	+1	18
6	Lorient	12	5	3	4	+0	18
7	Annecy	13	4	5	4	-4	17
8	Martigues	12	5	2	5	-9	17
9	Rodez	13	3	4	6	+1	13
10	Troyes	13	4	1	8	-4	13
11	Clermont	12	4	1	7	-10	13
12	Bastia	13	2	6	5	-4	12
13	Red Star	13	3	3	7	-10	12
14	Pau FC	13	2	5	6	-8	11
15	Grenoble	12	3	1	8	-7	10
16	Ajaccio	12	3	1	8	-11	10
17	Caen	12	2	1	9	-10	7
18	Amiens	12	2	1	9	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.