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LaLiga2
Referee: Sergiu Muresan
Eibar
T U T U S
1–0
Full-time
Almeria
U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
17%
100%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,5
This season — LaLiga2 · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 38%
34%
41%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
31%
62%
Both score Ø 57%
38%
76%
Average goals
2,0
3,1
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%
10 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 6
5 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 16. · Almeria 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 29 15 7 7 +13 52
2 Huesca 29 14 9 6 +18 51
3 Mirandes 29 15 6 8 +15 51
4 Levante 29 13 11 5 +14 50
5 Elche 29 14 8 7 +14 50
6 Oviedo 29 14 8 7 +7 50
7 Almeria 29 12 11 6 +11 47
8 Granada 29 11 10 8 +6 43
9 Cordoba 29 12 6 11 -1 42
10 La Coruna 29 10 9 10 +4 39
11 Sp Gijon 29 9 12 8 +4 39
12 Castellon 29 11 6 12 +1 39
13 Malaga 29 8 15 6 +1 39
14 Cadiz 29 9 11 9 +0 38
15 Albacete 29 9 10 10 -2 37
16 Eibar 29 10 7 12 -3 37
17 Zaragoza 29 9 9 11 +3 36
18 Burgos 29 10 6 13 -9 36
19 Eldense 29 8 7 14 -13 31
20 Ferrol 29 4 10 15 -28 22
21 Tenerife 29 4 7 18 -21 19
22 Cartagena 29 4 3 22 -34 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Almeria
1–0 Matheus Pereira
Jorge Pascual
6′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Arnau Puigmal
↦ Gonzalo Melero
José Corpas 🟨
52′
63′
🔁 M. Milovanović
↦ Sergio Arribas
63′
🔁 Silvi
↦ Edgar González
64′
🟨 Aleksandar Radovanović
69′
🟨 Dion Lopy
Antonio Puertas 🔁
↦ Jorge Pascual
70′
72′
🟨 Marko Milovanović
Hodei Arrillaga 🔁
↦ Cristian Gutiérrez
76′
Sergio Álvarez 🔁
↦ Matheus Pereira
76′
Jon Guruzeta 🔁
↦ Xeber Alkain
84′
Oscar Carrasco 🔁
↦ Peru Nolaskoain
84′
84′
🔁 Nico Melamed
↦ Marc Pubill
84′
🔁 Lázaro
↦ Léo Baptistão
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 Jonmi Magunagoitia G
2 Sergio Cubero D
15 Arnau Comas D
23 Anaitz Arbilla D
3 Cristian Gutiérrez D
8 Peru Nolaskoain M
10 Matheus Pereira M
17 José Corpas M
11 Jorge Pascual M
7 Xeber Alkain M
9 Jon Bautista F
Bench (11)
20 Antonio Puertas
14 Hodei Arrillaga
6 Sergio Álvarez
21 Jon Guruzeta
35 Oscar Carrasco
1 Álex Domínguez
18 Martín Merquelanz
19 Toni Villa
5 Chema Rodríguez
4 Álvaro Carrillo
22 Aritz Arambarri

Coach: Beñat San José

Almeria

4-1-4-1
1 Luís Maximiano G
18 Marc Pubill D
3 Edgar González D
16 A. Radovanović D
20 Álex Centelles D
4 Kaiky M
11 Sergio Arribas M
6 D. Lopy M
8 Gonzalo Melero M
12 Léo Baptistão M
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (12)
2 Arnau Puigmal
19 M. Milovanović
23 Silvi
10 Nico Melamed
7 Lázaro
38 Pedro Cedillo
36 M. Perović
24 Bruno Langa
13 Fernando Martínez
31 Bruno Iribarne
5 L. Robertone
17 Álex Pozo

Coach: Rubi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,61
U
3,11
B
2,73
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,01
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sergiu Muresan · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.