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Süper Lig

Referee: M Türkmen

Bodrumspor

T U S S U

1–0

Full-time

Kasimpasa

S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bodrumspor Kasimpasa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

17%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

17%

100%

Average goals

1,2

5,8

Scored

0,5

3,0

Conceded

0,7

2,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Süper Lig · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 26%

24%

28%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

28%

72%

Both score Ø 50%

28%

72%

Average goals

1,8

3,8

Scored

0,7

1,8

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,67 xG 1,10

35% Possession 65%

15 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bodrumspor 15. · Kasimpasa 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	25	20	5	0	+36	+22.6	65
2	Fenerbahce	25	19	4	2	+40	+31.7	61
3	Samsunspor	25	14	5	6	+13	+8.1	47
4	Besiktas	24	12	8	4	+15	+12.0	44
5	Eyüpspor	25	11	7	7	+10	-1.1	40
6	Goztep	24	10	6	8	+12	+15.0	36
7	Buyuksehyr	24	10	6	8	+9	+7.1	36
8	Rizespor	25	10	3	12	-9	+4.7	33
9	Trabzonspor	24	8	8	8	+10	-3.1	32
10	Gaziantep	24	9	5	10	-1	-5.3	32
11	Kasimpasa	25	7	11	7	-5	-0.7	32
12	Alanyaspor	25	8	7	10	-7	-0.0	31
13	Antalyaspor	25	8	6	11	-18	-13.2	30
14	Konyaspor	25	7	7	11	-7	-6.8	28
15	Bodrumspor	25	6	6	13	-12	-2.0	24
16	Sivasspor	25	6	6	13	-13	-16.6	24
17	Kayserispor	24	5	9	10	-20	-5.8	24
18	Hatayspor	24	2	7	15	-19	-18.7	13
19	Ad. Demirspor	25	2	4	19	-34	-28.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	12	11	0	1	+20	+16.9	33
2	Galatasaray	13	10	3	0	+17	+15.8	33
3	Goztep	12	9	2	1	+19	+15.3	29
4	Trabzonspor	12	8	3	1	+18	+3.6	27
5	Gaziantep	13	8	3	2	+11	+2.0	27
6	Besiktas	12	8	2	2	+8	+8.7	26
7	Buyuksehyr	13	7	4	2	+16	+8.8	25
8	Eyüpspor	12	7	3	2	+11	+2.4	24
9	Samsunspor	12	7	2	3	+9	+9.3	23
10	Alanyaspor	12	6	3	3	+4	+7.1	21
11	Antalyaspor	12	6	3	3	-1	-3.6	21
12	Rizespor	12	5	3	4	+1	+9.2	18
13	Konyaspor	12	4	5	3	+2	+2.6	17
14	Sivasspor	13	4	5	4	+1	-6.3	17
15	Bodrumspor	12	4	3	5	+2	+0.3	15
16	Kasimpasa	12	3	5	4	-3	+3.4	14
17	Kayserispor	12	3	4	5	-9	-1.0	13
18	Hatayspor	13	2	5	6	-6	-7.6	11
19	Ad. Demirspor	13	1	2	10	-19	-12.4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Galatasaray	12	10	2	0	+19	+6.8	32
2	Fenerbahce	13	8	4	1	+20	+14.8	28
3	Samsunspor	13	7	3	3	+4	-1.2	24
4	Besiktas	12	4	6	2	+7	+3.4	18
5	Kasimpasa	13	4	6	3	-2	-4.1	18
6	Eyüpspor	13	4	4	5	-1	-3.4	16
7	Rizespor	13	5	0	8	-10	-4.5	15
8	Buyuksehyr	11	3	2	6	-7	-1.7	11
9	Konyaspor	13	3	2	8	-9	-9.5	11
10	Kayserispor	12	2	5	5	-11	-4.8	11
11	Alanyaspor	13	2	4	7	-11	-7.1	10
12	Bodrumspor	13	2	3	8	-14	-2.2	9
13	Antalyaspor	13	2	3	8	-17	-9.6	9
14	Goztep	12	1	4	7	-7	-0.3	7
15	Sivasspor	12	2	1	9	-14	-10.2	7
16	Trabzonspor	12	0	5	7	-8	-6.7	5
17	Gaziantep	11	1	2	8	-12	-7.3	5
18	Ad. Demirspor	12	1	2	9	-15	-15.7	5
19	Hatayspor	11	0	2	9	-13	-11.1	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.