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Ligue 2

Referee: O Thual

Bastia

U S T S T

2–0

Full-time

Dunkerque

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Dunkerque

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

17%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,8

Scored

0,8

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 43%

30%

56%

Points per game

1,4

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

33%

44%

Both score Ø 48%

44%

52%

Average goals

2,1

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%

14 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 6

3 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 8. · Dunkerque 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	27	17	4	6	+23	55
2	Metz	27	15	8	4	+26	53
3	Paris FC	27	16	4	7	+14	52
4	Dunkerque	27	15	3	9	+7	48
5	Guingamp	27	14	3	10	+11	45
6	Laval	27	12	7	8	+11	43
7	Annecy	27	11	7	9	-4	40
8	Bastia	27	8	13	6	+2	37
9	Grenoble	27	10	7	10	+1	37
10	Pau FC	27	8	10	9	-7	34
11	Ajaccio	27	10	4	13	-8	34
12	Troyes	27	10	3	14	+1	33
13	Amiens	27	10	3	14	-13	33
14	Red Star	27	9	5	13	-13	32
15	Rodez	27	8	7	12	+2	31
16	Clermont	27	6	8	13	-13	26
17	Martigues	27	7	4	16	-23	25
18	Caen	27	5	4	18	-17	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	14	12	1	1	+24	37
2	Metz	14	9	4	1	+21	31
3	Dunkerque	14	10	0	4	+10	30
4	Paris FC	13	9	2	2	+11	29
5	Grenoble	14	7	5	2	+8	26
6	Amiens	14	8	2	4	+2	26
7	Bastia	13	6	7	0	+10	25
8	Guingamp	13	7	2	4	+12	23
9	Annecy	13	7	2	4	+4	23
10	Ajaccio	14	7	2	5	+3	23
11	Pau FC	13	6	4	3	+1	22
12	Laval	13	6	3	4	+6	21
13	Red Star	13	6	2	5	-2	20
14	Troyes	13	5	2	6	+3	17
15	Rodez	13	5	2	6	+1	17
16	Clermont	14	2	7	5	-1	13
17	Caen	14	3	3	8	-6	12
18	Martigues	14	2	2	10	-13	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	14	7	2	5	+3	23
2	Laval	14	6	4	4	+5	22
3	Metz	13	6	4	3	+5	22
4	Guingamp	14	7	1	6	-1	22
5	Lorient	13	5	3	5	-1	18
6	Dunkerque	13	5	3	5	-3	18
7	Annecy	14	4	5	5	-8	17
8	Martigues	13	5	2	6	-10	17
9	Troyes	14	5	1	8	-2	16
10	Rodez	14	3	5	6	+1	14
11	Clermont	13	4	1	8	-12	13
12	Pau FC	14	2	6	6	-8	12
13	Bastia	14	2	6	6	-8	12
14	Red Star	14	3	3	8	-11	12
15	Grenoble	13	3	2	8	-7	11
16	Ajaccio	13	3	2	8	-11	11
17	Caen	13	2	1	10	-11	7
18	Amiens	13	2	1	10	-15	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.