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Serie B

Referee: E Feliciani

Spezia

U T U S U

0–1

Full-time

Brescia

T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,3

Scored

1,2

0,3

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

This season — Serie B · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 34%

47%

20%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

37%

40%

Both score Ø 50%

43%

57%

Average goals

2,2

2,4

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

71% Possession 29%

25 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 7

7 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

16 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

20 Free kicks against 16

4 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 3. · Brescia 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	30	21	6	3	+35	69
2	Pisa	30	17	7	6	+19	58
3	Spezia	30	14	13	3	+23	55
4	Cremonese	30	13	9	8	+15	48
5	Catanzaro	30	10	16	4	+9	46
6	Juve Stabia	30	11	10	9	+0	43
7	Cesena	30	11	9	10	+2	42
8	Bari	30	8	16	6	+4	40
9	Palermo	30	10	9	11	+5	39
10	Modena	30	7	14	9	+0	35
11	Sudtirol	30	9	7	14	-8	34
12	Cittadella	30	9	7	14	-20	34
13	Carrarese	30	8	9	13	-10	33
14	Frosinone	30	7	12	11	-14	33
15	Reggiana	30	7	11	12	-6	32
16	Sampdoria	30	6	14	10	-7	32
17	Brescia	30	6	13	11	-7	31
18	Mantova	30	6	12	12	-12	30
19	Salernitana	30	7	9	14	-12	30
20	Cosenza	30	6	11	13	-16	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	15	12	2	1	+23	38
2	Pisa	15	11	3	1	+18	36
3	Spezia	14	9	4	1	+15	31
4	Catanzaro	16	7	7	2	+12	28
5	Cesena	15	7	6	2	+8	27
6	Juve Stabia	15	8	3	4	+5	27
7	Carrarese	15	7	4	4	+3	25
8	Bari	16	5	9	2	+4	24
9	Cremonese	15	6	5	4	+5	23
10	Modena	14	5	7	2	+6	22
11	Palermo	15	6	4	5	+4	22
12	Salernitana	15	6	4	5	+1	22
13	Mantova	14	5	5	4	-1	20
14	Frosinone	16	4	7	5	-6	19
15	Reggiana	15	4	6	5	-1	18
16	Sampdoria	15	4	6	5	-1	18
17	Cosenza	15	4	6	5	-4	18
18	Brescia	15	3	8	4	+0	17
19	Sudtirol	15	4	5	6	-5	17
20	Cittadella	15	2	6	7	-10	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	15	9	4	2	+12	31
2	Cremonese	15	7	4	4	+10	25
3	Spezia	16	5	9	2	+8	24
4	Pisa	15	6	4	5	+1	22
5	Cittadella	15	7	1	7	-10	22
6	Catanzaro	14	3	9	2	-3	18
7	Palermo	15	4	5	6	+1	17
8	Sudtirol	15	5	2	8	-3	17
9	Bari	14	3	7	4	+0	16
10	Juve Stabia	15	3	7	5	-5	16
11	Cesena	15	4	3	8	-6	15
12	Reggiana	15	3	5	7	-5	14
13	Sampdoria	15	2	8	5	-6	14
14	Brescia	15	3	5	7	-7	14
15	Frosinone	14	3	5	6	-8	14
16	Modena	16	2	7	7	-6	13
17	Cosenza	15	2	5	8	-12	11
18	Mantova	16	1	7	8	-11	10
19	Carrarese	15	1	5	9	-13	8
20	Salernitana	15	1	5	9	-13	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.