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Süper Lig
Referee: B Pakkan
Antalyaspor
U S T S T
2–1
Full-time
Alanyaspor
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antalyaspor Alanyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 32%
33%
30%
Points per game
1,2
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
59%
48%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,1
Conceded
1,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,32 xG 0,21
55% Possession 45%
11 Shots 4
4 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 6
16 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Antalyaspor 12. · Alanyaspor 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 27 22 5 0 +41 +27.5 71
2 Fenerbahce 26 19 5 2 +40 +33.6 62
3 Samsunspor 27 15 6 6 +14 +8.8 51
4 Besiktas 26 12 8 6 +13 +14.9 44
5 Eyüpspor 27 12 8 7 +11 -0.6 44
6 Gaziantep 26 11 5 10 +1 -6.8 38
7 Goztep 26 10 7 9 +10 +14.9 37
8 Buyuksehyr 26 10 6 10 +4 +6.7 36
9 Trabzonspor 26 9 8 9 +12 -1.3 35
10 Kasimpasa 27 8 11 8 -5 -1.0 35
11 Rizespor 27 10 3 14 -12 +3.8 33
12 Antalyaspor 27 9 6 12 -21 -16.0 33
13 Konyaspor 27 8 7 12 -7 -10.0 31
14 Alanyaspor 27 8 7 12 -9 -1.5 31
15 Bodrumspor 27 8 6 13 -9 -1.4 30
16 Sivasspor 27 7 6 14 -12 -15.4 27
17 Kayserispor 26 6 9 11 -19 -4.8 27
18 Hatayspor 26 4 7 15 -17 -20.9 19
19 Ad. Demirspor 26 2 4 20 -35 -30.6 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,46
U
3,09
B
3,02
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,04
U2,5
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Pakkan · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,39 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.