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Ligue 2
Referee: Remi Landry
Guingamp
T T S S T
2–1
Full-time
Dunkerque
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Dunkerque
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

41% Possession 59%
10 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 4
4 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 13. · Dunkerque 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Etienne 6 4 2 0 +7 14
2 Red Star 6 4 1 1 +7 13
3 Troyes 6 4 1 1 +6 13
4 Pau FC 6 3 2 1 +4 11
5 Amiens 6 2 3 1 +4 9
6 Clermont 6 2 3 1 +1 9
7 Montpellier 6 2 2 2 +1 8
8 Annecy 6 2 2 2 +0 8
9 Reims 6 2 2 2 -1 8
10 Nancy 6 2 2 2 -1 8
11 Rodez 6 2 2 2 -3 8
12 Laval 6 1 4 1 -2 7
13 Guingamp 6 2 1 3 -5 7
14 Dunkerque 6 1 3 2 -1 6
15 Le Mans 6 1 2 3 -2 5
16 Grenoble 6 1 2 3 -3 5
17 Boulogne 6 1 0 5 -6 3
18 Bastia 6 0 2 4 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Dunkerque
1–0 F. Mbemba
A. Hemia
4′
2–0 A. Hemia
G. Ott
16′
43′
🔁 M. Niflore
↦ M. Lavin
44′
E. Bardeli 2–1
G. Yassine
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 E. Sylvestre
↦ G. Yassine
54′
🟨 Íñigo Eguaras
59′
🔁 P. Diong
↦ I. Eguaras
59′
🔁 A. Daho
↦ A. Sekongo
S. Kielt 🔁
↦ L. Mafouta
72′
T. Ahile 🔁
↦ K. Sidibe
73′
J. Hatchi 🔁
↦ G. Ott
73′
A. Abdallah 🔁
↦ F. Mbemba
76′
76′
🔁 T. Robinet
↦ A. Kante
Amine Hemia 🟨
81′
Jérémy Hatchi 🟨
87′
87′
🟨 Geoffrey Kondo
91′
🟨 Aristide Zossou
E. Koffi 🔁
↦ D. Ourega
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-4-2
1 T. Bartouche-Selbonne G
22 A. Sissoko D
7 D. Gomis D
36 A. Demouchy D
23 D. Ourega D
24 G. Ott M
4 D. Louiserre M
8 K. Sidibe M
21 F. Mbemba M
10 A. Hemia F
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
40 N. Marec
2 E. Koffi
29 A. Abdallah
6 D. N'Landu
39 T. Ahile
20 J. Hatchi
27 S. Kielt

Coach: Sylvain Ripoll

Dunkerque

4-1-4-1
1 M. Lavin G
2 A. Georgen D
23 V. Sasso D
21 G. Kondo D
30 F. Abner D
16 I. Eguaras M
80 G. Yassine M
8 A. Sekongo M
20 E. Bardeli M
77 A. Zossou M
19 A. Kante F
Bench (7)
60 M. Niflore
24 L. Dziki Loussilaho
6 P. Diong
11 A. Daho
7 E. Sylvestre
9 T. Robinet
10 M. Essimi

Coach: Albert Sánchez Saura

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,43
U
3,34
B
2,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,84
U2,5
1,87
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.