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Ligue 2

Referee: G Kubler

Boulogne

S T T T T

1–0

Full-time

Bastia

S U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boulogne Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

This season — Ligue 2 · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

25%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

1,5

1,8

Scored

0,3

0,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%

6 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Boulogne 18. · Bastia 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Etienne	5	3	2	0	+6	11
2	Red Star	5	3	1	1	+6	10
3	Troyes	5	3	1	1	+3	10
4	Pau FC	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	Nancy	5	2	2	1	+0	8
6	Reims	5	2	2	1	+0	8
7	Rodez	5	2	2	1	-2	8
8	Laval	5	1	4	0	+1	7
9	Guingamp	5	2	1	2	-2	7
10	Amiens	5	1	3	1	+1	6
11	Clermont	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Dunkerque	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Grenoble	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Montpellier	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Annecy	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Le Mans	5	1	1	3	-2	4
17	Bastia	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Boulogne	4	0	0	4	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Troyes	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Reims	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Pau FC	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Rodez	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	St Etienne	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Nancy	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Grenoble	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Dunkerque	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Clermont	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Guingamp	3	1	1	1	-3	4
11	Le Mans	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Red Star	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Annecy	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Laval	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Montpellier	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Amiens	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Bastia	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Boulogne	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	3	2	1	0	+7	7
2	St Etienne	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Laval	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Amiens	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Nancy	3	1	1	1	-1	4
6	Guingamp	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Montpellier	3	1	0	2	-1	3
8	Annecy	3	1	0	2	-2	3
9	Rodez	2	1	0	1	-3	3
10	Pau FC	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Clermont	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Reims	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Le Mans	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Dunkerque	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Bastia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Grenoble	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Boulogne	2	0	0	2	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.