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Ligue 2
Referee: Geoffrey Kubler
Laval
U U S T T
0–1
Full-time
Montpellier
T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Laval Montpellier
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,7
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 2 · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 22%
14%
29%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
43%
29%
Both score Ø 57%
57%
57%
Average goals
2,4
2,1
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

63% Possession 37%
18 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 7
11 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Laval 14. · Montpellier 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 8 6 1 1 +10 19
2 St Etienne 7 5 2 0 +8 17
3 Pau FC 8 5 2 1 +6 17
4 Reims 8 4 2 2 +3 14
5 Red Star 7 4 1 2 +5 13
6 Nancy 8 3 2 3 -1 11
7 Rodez 8 3 2 3 -3 11
8 Clermont 8 2 4 2 -2 10
9 Guingamp 7 3 1 3 -4 10
10 Amiens 7 2 3 2 +3 9
11 Le Mans 8 2 3 3 -1 9
12 Montpellier 7 2 2 3 -1 8
13 Annecy 8 2 2 4 -3 8
14 Laval 7 1 4 2 -3 7
15 Dunkerque 7 1 3 3 -2 6
16 Grenoble 8 1 3 4 -4 6
17 Boulogne 7 2 0 5 -4 6
18 Bastia 8 0 3 5 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Laval Montpellier
26′
A. Mendy 0–1
T. Sainte-Luce
Mamadou Samassa 🟨
27′
31′
🟨 Naoufel El Hannach
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 L. Mincarelli
↦ T. Sainte-Luce
56′
🟨 Simon Ngapandouetnbu
63′
🟨 Nicolas Pays
E. Clavreul 🔁
↦ M. Sellouki
68′
68′
🔁 T. Savanier
↦ A. Mendy
75′
🟨 Victor Orakpo
N. Mupemba 🔁
↦ S. Sanna
78′
W. Bianda 🔁
↦ Y. Aradj
83′
E. Montet 🔁
↦ T. Thomas
83′
M. Aristide 🔁
↦ J. Maggiotti
84′
88′
🔁 I. Mohamed
↦ N. El Hannach
88′
🔁 F. Mahboub
↦ N. Pays
95′
🟨 Lucas Mincarelli Davin
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Laval

4-2-3-1
30 M. Samassa G
7 T. Vargas D
23 Y. Tavares D
2 T. Pellenard D
21 Y. Aradj D
14 C. Mandouki M
8 T. Thomas M
10 M. Sellouki M
28 J. Maggiotti M
6 S. Sanna M
18 M. Tchokounte F
Bench (7)
1 M. Hautbois
3 W. Bianda
26 W. Benard
20 E. Clavreul
25 E. Montet
22 N. Mupemba
33 M. Aristide

Coach: Olivier Frapolli

Montpellier

4-1-4-1
31 S. Ngapandouetnbu G
3 N. El Hannach D
27 B. Omeragic D
6 C. Jullien D
17 T. Sainte-Luce D
77 E. Junior Pereira da Silva M
18 N. Pays M
44 T. Chennahi M
14 V. Orakpo M
7 N. Mbuku M
19 A. Mendy F
Bench (7)
1 M. Michel
21 L. Mincarelli
36 I. Mohamed
33 L. Da Silva
11 T. Savanier
35 F. Mahboub
24 J. Ndiaye

Coach: Zoumana Camara

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,74
U
3,06
B ✓
2,52
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,19
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.