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Süper Lig
Referee: Batuhan Kolak
Buyuksehyr
T T T U S
1–0
Full-time
Kocaelispor
U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Buyuksehyr Kocaelispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 25%
20%
30%
Points per game
1,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
40%
30%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
1,1
1,0
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,69 xG 1,04
59% Possession 41%
16 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 6
7 Blocked shots 3
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Buyuksehyr 11. · Kocaelispor 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 10 9 1 0 +20 +13.3 28
2 Trabzonspor 10 7 2 1 +10 +0.7 23
3 Fenerbahce 10 6 4 0 +12 +13.7 22
4 Besiktas 10 5 2 3 +4 +10.4 17
5 Samsunspor 10 4 5 1 +4 +5.3 17
6 Gaziantep 10 5 2 3 -3 -0.8 17
7 Goztep 10 4 4 2 +6 +1.0 16
8 Konyaspor 10 4 2 4 +2 -1.6 14
9 Alanyaspor 10 3 4 3 +0 -4.2 13
10 Kocaelispor 10 3 2 5 -4 -2.6 11
11 Buyuksehyr 10 2 4 4 +2 -0.3 10
12 Rizespor 10 2 4 4 -3 +1.4 10
13 Kasimpasa 10 2 4 4 -3 -4.9 10
14 Antalyaspor 10 3 1 6 -9 -7.2 10
15 Genclerbirligi 10 2 2 6 -5 -5.9 8
16 Eyüpspor 10 2 2 6 -7 -3.8 8
17 Kayserispor 10 0 6 4 -14 -7.5 6
18 Karagumruk 10 1 1 8 -12 -6.9 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Buyuksehyr Kocaelispor
O. Ba 🔁
↦ J. Opoku
22′
Half-time 0–0
O. Kemen 🔁
↦ U. Gunes
46′
Berat Ayberk Özdemir 🟨
62′
I. Brnic 🔁
↦ N. Da Costa
63′
65′
🔁 C. Keles
↦ K. Linetty
D. Selke 🔁
↦ M. Crespo
73′
77′
🔁 D. Churlinov
↦ D. Agyei
78′
🔁 S. Yalcin
↦ H. Keita
85′
🔁 J. Nonge
↦ S. Dursun
88′
🟨 Botond Balogh
88′
🟨 Ahmet Oğuz
1–0 E. Shomurodov
90′
Ömer Ali Şahiner 🟨
92′
93′
🔁 F. Gedik
↦ Show
F. Ebosele 🔁
↦ Y. Sari
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Buyuksehyr

4-2-3-1
16 M. Sengezer G
6 O. Bulut D
5 L. Duarte D
3 J. Opoku D
42 O. Sahiner D
2 B. Ozdemir M
20 U. Gunes M
7 Y. Sari M
13 M. Crespo M
10 N. Da Costa M
14 E. Shomurodov F
Bench (10)
80 D. Alemdar
8 O. Kemen
36 F. Ebosele
23 D. Turuc
17 O. Beyaz
18 J. Kaluzinski
9 D. Selke
77 I. Brnic
27 O. Ba
4 O. Ergun

Coach: Nuri Şahin

Kocaelispor

4-2-3-1
1 A. Jovanovic G
22 A. Oguz D
5 B. Balogh D
6 H. Smolcic D
2 A. Dijksteel D
8 H. Keita M
14 Show M
7 D. Agyei M
10 K. Linetty M
75 T. Bingol M
19 S. Dursun F
Bench (10)
35 G. Degirmenci
3 M. Cinan
11 A. Sagat
15 T. Serbest
17 D. Churlinov
18 F. Gedik
23 S. Yalcin
34 O. Syrota
70 C. Keles
98 J. Nonge

Coach: Selçuk İnan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,81
U
3,48
B
4,19
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,95
U2,5 ✓
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.