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Ligue 2
Referee: Ahmed Taleb
Montpellier
S T S T S
4–1
Full-time
Nancy
T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Nancy
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,7
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 35%
40%
30%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
20%
50%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
1,9
2,2
Scored
0,9
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

69% Possession 31%
19 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 1
6 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Montpellier 8. · Nancy 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 11 7 3 1 +11 24
2 Red Star 11 7 2 2 +8 23
3 Pau FC 11 6 3 2 +5 21
4 St Etienne 10 6 2 2 +8 20
5 Reims 11 4 4 3 +1 16
6 Le Mans 11 4 4 3 +1 16
7 Guingamp 11 4 3 4 -4 15
8 Montpellier 10 4 2 4 -1 14
9 Dunkerque 11 3 4 4 +4 13
10 Rodez 10 3 4 3 -3 13
11 Clermont 11 3 4 4 -4 13
12 Amiens 10 3 3 4 -1 12
13 Annecy 10 3 3 4 -2 12
14 Nancy 10 3 3 4 -2 12
15 Grenoble 11 2 4 5 -3 10
16 Boulogne 11 3 1 7 -5 10
17 Laval 10 1 5 4 -5 8
18 Bastia 10 0 4 6 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Montpellier Nancy
13′
🟨 Elydjah Mendy
17′
R. Bamba 0–1
22′
🟨 Elydjah Mendy
22′
🟥 Elydjah Mendy
K. Fayad 🔁
↦ E. Junior Pereira da Silva
33′
1–1 B. Omeragic
44′
Theo Chennahi 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
C. Jullien 🔁
↦ T. Chennahi
46′
46′
🔁 A. Julloux
↦ B. Bokangu
2–1 K. Fayad
48′
3–1 N. Pays
C. Jullien
63′
64′
🔁 Z. Fdaouch
↦ T. Bouriaud
65′
🔁 B. Camara
↦ W. Bouabdelli
65′
🔁 M. Experience
↦ F. Maouassa
68′
🔁 Z. Ztouti
T. Sainte-Luce 🔁
↦ L. Mincarelli
71′
A. Sishuba 🔁
↦ T. Savanier
72′
4–1 N. Mbuku
K. Fayad
80′
N. El Hannach 🔁
↦ B. Omeragic
85′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
31 S. Ngapandouetnbu G
29 E. Tchato D
15 J. Laporte D
27 B. Omeragic D
21 L. Mincarelli D
44 T. Chennahi M
77 E. Junior Pereira da Silva M
18 N. Pays M
11 T. Savanier M
7 N. Mbuku M
19 A. Mendy F
Bench (7)
1 M. Michel
3 N. El Hannach
6 C. Jullien
17 T. Sainte-Luce
10 K. Fayad
28 A. Sishuba
14 V. Orakpo

Coach: Zoumana Camara

Nancy

3-1-4-2
1 E. Basilio G
4 N. Fernandez D
14 N. Saint-Ruf D
21 E. Mendy D
17 M. Carlier M
23 R. Bamba M
8 W. Bouabdelli M
6 T. Bouriaud M
27 F. Maouassa M
10 A. Dabasse F
20 B. Bokangu F
Bench (7)
16 M. Sourzac
7 Z. Fdaouch
12 A. Julloux
13 B. Camara
19 M. Experience
22 J. Evans
26 Z. Ztouti

Coach: Pablo Correa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,00
U
3,26
B
3,55
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,05
U2,5
1,70
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.