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Ligue 2
Referee: M Leleu
Boulogne
U S U T T
1–0
Full-time
Montpellier
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Boulogne Montpellier
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Ligue 2 · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 31%
22%
39%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
50%
22%
Both score Ø 50%
56%
44%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,6
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

40% Possession 60%
6 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 7
9 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Boulogne 16. · Montpellier 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 18 11 5 2 +15 38
2 Reims 18 9 5 4 +13 32
3 St Etienne 18 9 4 5 +10 31
4 Le Mans 18 8 7 3 +5 31
5 Dunkerque 18 8 6 4 +12 30
6 Red Star 17 8 5 4 +5 29
7 Pau FC 18 7 6 5 -2 27
8 Guingamp 18 7 5 6 -2 26
9 Montpellier 18 7 4 7 +0 25
10 Annecy 18 6 4 8 +2 22
11 Clermont 18 5 7 6 -2 22
12 Rodez 18 5 7 6 -5 22
13 Grenoble 18 5 6 7 -3 21
14 Nancy 18 6 3 9 -6 21
15 Amiens 18 5 3 10 -6 18
16 Boulogne 18 4 4 10 -11 16
17 Laval 18 3 6 9 -12 15
18 Bastia 17 2 5 10 -13 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Boulogne Montpellier
29′
🟨 Julien Laporte
Noah Fatar 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–0
M. Lecolier 🔁
↦ N. Fatar
46′
58′
🔁 T. Chennahi
↦ E. Junior Pereira da Silva
1–0 C. Fatou
N. Binet
59′
J. Bultel 🔁
↦ S. Duflos
68′
S. Keita 🔁
↦ C. Fatou
69′
69′
🔁 N. Mbuku
↦ N. Pays
70′
🔁 K. Fayad
↦ Y. Issoufou
Siad Gourville 🟨
78′
J. Martin 🔁
↦ A. El Farissi
80′
Demba Thiam 🟨
84′
E. Kouassi 🔁
↦ D. Thiam
90′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Boulogne

4-1-4-1
16 I. Kone G
18 D. Thiam D
25 S. Gourville D
5 N. Zohore D
12 J. Boyer D
22 S. Duflos M
10 A. El Farissi M
23 N. Fatar M
19 N. Binet M
3 V. Burlet M
17 C. Fatou F
Bench (7)
30 A. Uriev
77 E. Kouassi
15 A. Pinot
14 J. Bultel
11 S. Keita
90 J. Martin
9 M. Lecolier

Coach: Fabien Dagneaux

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
50 V. Dzodic G
29 E. Tchato D
15 J. Laporte D
23 Y. Mouanga D
21 L. Mincarelli D
27 B. Omeragic M
77 E. Junior Pereira da Silva M
18 N. Pays M
11 T. Savanier M
8 Y. Issoufou M
19 A. Mendy F
Bench (7)
1 M. Michel
3 N. El Hannach
6 C. Jullien
44 T. Chennahi
10 K. Fayad
7 N. Mbuku
14 V. Orakpo

Coach: Zoumana Camara

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,98
U
3,10
B
2,33
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,15
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Leleu · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.