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Ligue 2
Montpellier
S S S T S
0–1
Full-time
Pau FC
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Pau FC
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
0,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 44%
47%
40%
Points per game
1,6
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
20%
60%
Both score Ø 47%
40%
53%
Average goals
2,1
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
13 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
13 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
22 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Montpellier 6. · Pau FC 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 15 9 4 2 +13 31
2 St Etienne 15 9 2 4 +11 29
3 Red Star 15 8 4 3 +6 28
4 Le Mans 16 7 6 3 +4 27
5 Reims 15 7 4 4 +8 25
6 Montpellier 15 7 3 5 +3 24
7 Pau FC 15 6 5 4 -2 23
8 Guingamp 16 6 5 5 -4 23
9 Annecy 16 6 4 6 +4 22
10 Dunkerque 15 5 6 4 +8 21
11 Grenoble 16 5 5 6 -2 20
12 Clermont 16 4 7 5 -4 19
13 Rodez 15 4 5 6 -6 17
14 Boulogne 16 4 4 8 -7 16
15 Laval 15 3 6 6 -4 15
16 Amiens 16 4 3 9 -6 15
17 Nancy 16 4 3 9 -8 15
18 Bastia 15 1 4 10 -14 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Jan -23 Pau FC – Montpellier 2–1

Match report

Montpellier Pau FC
17′
R. Touzghar 0–1
G. Versini
23′
🟨 Rayan Touzghar
33′
🟨 Cheikh Fall
Khalil Fayad 🟨
39′
41′
🟨 Omar Sadik
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 S. Karamoko
↦ Kante
55′
🔁 E. Zuliani
↦ G. Versini
59′
🔁 N. Glossoa
↦ O. Sissoko
Y. Mouanga 🔁
↦ K. Fayad
74′
V. Orakpo 🔁
↦ N. Mbuku
74′
L. Mincarelli 🔁
↦ T. Sainte-Luce
79′
85′
🟨 Setigui Karamoko
87′
🔁 K. Dong
↦ T. Pouilly
87′
🔁 R. Messi
↦ R. Touzghar
90′
🟨 Neil Glossoa
Theo Chennahi 🟨
92′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Montpellier

4-2-3-1
31 S. Ngapandouetnbu G
29 E. Tchato D
3 N. El Hannach D
27 B. Omeragic D
17 T. Sainte-Luce D
44 T. Chennahi M
10 K. Fayad M
18 N. Pays M
11 T. Savanier M
7 N. Mbuku M
19 A. Mendy F
Bench (7)
1 M. Michel
21 L. Mincarelli
23 Y. Mouanga
77 E. Junior Pereira da Silva
8 Y. Issoufou
14 V. Orakpo
33 A. Ebener

Coach: Zoumana Camara

Pau FC

4-2-3-1
22 N. Raveyre G
2 T. Pouilly D
19 Kante D
97 D. Meddah D
3 J. Kalulu D
21 S. Beusnard M
6 C. Fall M
10 G. Versini M
84 R. Touzghar M
17 O. Sissoko M
18 O. Sadik F
Bench (7)
40 T. Paradowski
4 S. Karamoko
14 A. Bobichon
87 E. Zuliani
9 K. Dong
26 N. Glossoa
7 R. Messi

Coach: Nicolas Usaï

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,89
U
3,56
B ✓
3,69
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
1,93
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.