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Ligue 2
Referee: R Landry
Guingamp
S S T T T
3–0
Full-time
Boulogne
U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Boulogne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 30%
35%
24%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
71%
47%
Both score Ø 59%
59%
59%
Average goals
3,2
2,6
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

64% Possession 36%
18 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guingamp 9. · Boulogne 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 18 11 5 2 +15 38
2 St Etienne 17 9 3 5 +10 30
3 Le Mans 17 8 6 3 +5 30
4 Reims 17 8 5 4 +12 29
5 Red Star 17 8 5 4 +5 29
6 Dunkerque 17 7 6 4 +10 27
7 Pau FC 17 7 5 5 -2 26
8 Montpellier 17 7 4 6 +2 25
9 Guingamp 17 6 5 6 -5 23
10 Annecy 17 6 4 7 +3 22
11 Grenoble 17 5 6 6 -2 21
12 Rodez 17 5 6 6 -5 21
13 Clermont 17 4 7 6 -5 19
14 Amiens 17 5 3 9 -5 18
15 Nancy 17 5 3 9 -7 18
16 Boulogne 17 4 4 9 -8 16
17 Laval 17 3 6 8 -9 15
18 Bastia 16 1 5 10 -14 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. Oct -25 Boulogne – Guingamp 2–2

Match report

Guingamp Boulogne
1–0 L. Mafouta
K. Sidibe
20′
2–0 Y. Demoncy
L. Mafouta
25′
Half-time 2–0
49′
🟨 Joffrey Bultel
3–0 L. Mafouta
58′
66′
🔁 S. Duflos
↦ J. Bultel
66′
🔁 F. Boulet
↦ C. Fatou
F. Mbemba 🔁
↦ G. Ott
68′
70′
🔁 A. Platret
↦ A. Pinot
Dylan Ourega 🟨
78′
T. Ahile 🔁
↦ Y. Demoncy
79′
Y. Njoya 🔁
↦ A. Sagna
79′
79′
🔁 S. Keita
↦ N. Fatar
E. Koffi 🔁
↦ D. Ourega
87′
S. Kielt 🔁
↦ L. Mafouta
87′
Adrián Ortolá 🟨
91′
93′
🟨 Nathan Zohoré
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-4-2
16 A. Ortola G
22 A. Sissoko D
7 D. Gomis D
18 S. Nair D
23 D. Ourega D
11 A. Sagna M
4 D. Louiserre M
8 K. Sidibe M
24 G. Ott M
21 Y. Demoncy F
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
1 T. Bartouche-Selbonne
36 A. Demouchy
2 E. Koffi
39 T. Ahile
17 F. Mbemba
34 Y. Njoya
27 S. Kielt

Coach: Sylvain Ripoll

Boulogne

5-4-1
16 I. Kone G
18 D. Thiam D
25 S. Gourville D
15 A. Pinot D
5 N. Zohore D
3 V. Burlet D
10 A. El Farissi M
14 J. Bultel M
19 N. Binet M
23 N. Fatar M
17 C. Fatou F
Bench (7)
30 A. Uriev
22 S. Duflos
21 A. Platret
24 L. Siliadin
7 L. Boiteau
13 F. Boulet
11 S. Keita

Coach: Fabien Dagneaux

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,88
U
3,32
B
3,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,98
U2,5
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Landry · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.